NH (Saint Anselm College): Biden +12

[VAR]

Biden 53%
Trump 41%

https://www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/Documents/NHIOP/Polls/October%202020%20FullResults.pdf

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

New England is coming back home to the Democrats.

[Rand]

G R A N I T E   J O E

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

October 1-4
1147 likely voters
MoE: 2.9%

Someone else 4%
Unsure 2%

[Horus]

Safe D

[redjohn]

Looks about right. Biden wins by anywhere from 8 to 15 points.

By the way: I don't really know how you can simultaneously agree that NH is going to swing 10 points and deny that Biden is very likely to win in ME, PA, and do well across the great lakes region. Voters in NH aren't some special breed of liberal white voters that are going to vote exceptionally different from white voters in WI+MI; these regions usually swing together and you're going to see similar trends across northern swing states.

[Calthrina950]

Yet another poll showing Joe Biden significantly outperforming Hillary Clinton in New England. New Hampshire and Maine seem set to have some of the strongest swings against Trump next month. It's pretty clear at this point that Trump has no hope of winning any Clinton states, as polls have shown Biden consistently ahead by comfortable or landslide margins here, in Maine, Minnesota, New Mexico, and in Nevada. Trump has much deeper problems facing him in the South and Midwest.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

There hasn't been as much polling of this state as I thought there would be this year, but this looks good to me. Consistent with a double-digit Biden lead nationally.

[Ljube]

Obviously, Trump isn't winning New Hampshire.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I can't believe that I used to think this was Trump's best chance at a pickup. Now it looks like no state is.

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: New Hampshire President by St. Anselm College on 2020-10-04

Summary: D: 53%, R: 41%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[MT Treasurer]

Women: Biden +28 (62/34)
Men: Trump +6 (43/49)

Lol NH men

[pbrower2a]

This is consistent with about an 11% swing against Trump. The swing is likely to be closest to the nationwide swing in a state close to the dividing line or the tipping-point state in a previous close election. New Hampshire was of course Trump's barest loss in 2016 and it seems (if this poll is accurate) that the Granite State is out of contention. See also Maine and Minnesota. Nevada seems to be on the fringe of contention.