I still think Marshall will win by 7-8 points. This is TN-SEN 2018 all over again.
No, it’s not. KS is not as Republican as TN, not to mention that the trends in KS are much more favorable. KS has a large College educated and suburban population, while TN has the highest population of evangelicals in the country. There is a non zero chance KS is within single digits, Trump will win TN by over 20 points. Also candidate wise, Bredesen last held office in 2011, Boiler is an incumbent state senator. This race is infinitely more winnable than TN-SEN 2018
Anyway, Tilt D.