Data for Progress: Biden +15
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Author Topic: Data for Progress: Biden +15  (Read 1034 times)
tagimaucia
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« on: October 08, 2020, 08:18:26 AM »


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dGGzVgmSaesL4N8JeM07YIfMsT_BJ1yflf-29y_ejcQ/

Conducted 10/6, 863 Likely Voters (this is their first Likely (not Registered) Voters poll)
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2020, 08:21:32 AM »
First time doing the honors.

Quote from: SirWoodbury on August 29, 2020, 11:21:06 AM
OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!
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VBM
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« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2020, 08:29:32 AM »
tHeRe’S nO wAy BiDeN hAs A 10+ pOiNt LeAd
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2020, 08:30:26 AM »
Yeah, these double digit leads are def not outliers anymore and honestly any poll like Marquette only showing Biden +5 in key states are likely outliers too
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2020, 08:32:17 AM »
No, Biden is losing in SC this isn't accurate
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Rand
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« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2020, 08:32:23 AM »
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2020, 08:39:06 AM »
Wow. I think he really is pulling away. Senate races seem to be doing so as well.

This country may survive this after all.

(knock on wood)
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2020, 08:40:09 AM »
D.O.M.I.N.A.T.I.N.G!

I mean, we've now seen several polls that have Biden up between 9 and 16 pts. It's getting hard to discount all of them as outliers or junk. Overall, Biden has run a very solid campaign since taking the nomination. And I'm saying this as someone skeptical when he announced in spring last year. I voted for him on ST, but even then wasn't sure, but he has exceeded my best expectations. And Trump has totally blown up his campaign with one stupid move after another and his sheer incompetence. Polls like these are the result of that.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #8 on: October 08, 2020, 08:54:34 AM »
The RV sample in this poll (N=955) is Biden+18 (57-39).  I don't recall ever seeing a poll with margins like that this late in a campaign.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #9 on: October 08, 2020, 10:27:12 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 08, 2020, 08:54:34 AM
The RV sample in this poll (N=955) is Biden+18 (57-39).  I don't recall ever seeing a poll with margins like that this late in a campaign.

Sweet mother of god...
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #10 on: October 08, 2020, 10:34:09 AM »
Looking like 1932
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President Johnson
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« Reply #11 on: October 08, 2020, 02:19:40 PM »
15% is too much, but I could easily forsee a scenario where Joe Biden wins nationally by roughly ten points, 54-44%.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #12 on: October 08, 2020, 02:21:20 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on October 08, 2020, 02:19:40 PM
15% is too much, but I could easily forsee a scenario where Joe Biden wins nationally by roughly ten points, 54-44%.

He's not winning by 10 with Cunningham in trouble and Biden is losing TX by 7 points, Biden would be lucky to win FL
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