TX-23 - Public Opinion Strategies/Gonzalez internal (R): Ortiz-Jones +1%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/ortiz-jones-just-one-point-ahead-of-gonzales-in-texas-house-race-despite-cash-advantage-poll

October 3-5
400 likely voters
MoE: 4.9%

Ortiz-Jones (D) 42%
Gonzalez (R) 41%

Hurt (R) beat Ortiz-Jones 49.2%-48.7% in 2018.

[Horus]

Would've expected Ortiz-Jones to be up by more, even in a GOP internal, but this district is probably very hard to poll.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

More like Jones +10
Remember the Hurd by double digits polls? We saw how that ended

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Polling here notoriously under polls Democrats, so solid for GOJ

[GALeftist]

Safe D

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Svitek puts Beto the Libertarian ("Hell no! They're not coming for your AR-15s") here at 3%:

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1313997506645295104

[Xing]

Gonzalez is down in his own internal, when public polls showed Hurd up by 15-20 last time around? Pretty much Safe D, at this point.

[VAR]

Junk poll, was off by 5!

[SnowLabrador]

Gonzalez is down in his own internal, when public polls showed Hurd up by 15-20 last time around? Pretty much Safe D, at this point.

This aged well, didn't it? /s

[lfromnj]

When you think about it not that shocking the polling error basically flipped from 2018>2020. IIRC hurd won the San Antonio portion by like 10 points. So basically most pollsters just poll San Antonio lol.

[VAR]

When you think about it not that shocking the polling error basically flipped from 2018>2020. IIRC hurd won the San Antonio portion by like 10 points. So basically most pollsters just poll San Antonio lol.

Not really. Hurd won it by 4 IIRC, and Gonzales won it by 2.