MN Survey USA: Biden 47 Trump 40

[Minnesota Mike]

https://www.kaaltv.com/minnesota-news/minnesota-survey-usa-poll-elections-biden-up-7-points/5886995/?cat=10151

Closer than their September poll that had Biden +9.

[Buzz]

Minnesota will be closer than NC!

/s


Well by atlas logic who knows

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Minnesota will be closer than NC!

/s


Well by atlas logic who knows

Gloves are off today, Buzz I get the sense that your patience with this forum is growing thin (but maybe that's just me). 

[Bootes Void]

Too many undecideds

[Horus]

This is Trump's best result post debate along with the Marquette Wisconsin poll.

[Buzz]

Minnesota will be closer than NC!

/s


Well by atlas logic who knows

Gloves are off today, Buzz I get the sense that your patience with this forum is growing thin (but maybe that's just me). 

Haha.  I probably need to take a few days off to be honest.  Watching Trump self implode this week combined with so many junk polls being taken as gospel is not a recipe for good posting lol

[Skye]

Of those who have already voted, Biden leads Trump by more than 4:1. Of those who say they will vote in person on Election Day, Trump leads Biden 5:2.

Huh.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

October 1-6
929 likely voters
Changes with September 4-7 poll

Biden 47% (-2)
Trump 40% (n/c)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Minnesota will be closer than NC!

/s


Well by atlas logic who knows

Gloves are off today, Buzz I get the sense that your patience with this forum is growing thin (but maybe that's just me).  

Haha.  I probably need to take a few days off to be honest.  Watching Trump self implode this week combined with so many junk polls being taken as gospel is not a recipe for good posting lol

Nobody (or at least noone with experience in watching elections) is taking the polls as "gospel".  I doubt that anyone really believes Biden is up by 16 nationally at this point.  You seem to be equating people celebrating these polls with them taking the polls as gospel.  We all (should) understand that polls vary and have a margin of error.

No single poll is likely to be absolutely correct.  But when the vast majority of polls show a significant and increasing lead for one candidate, it's a very strong indication that the candidate really is ahead, and getting further ahead.  Why wouldn't Biden's supporters cheer these polls?  

Also, you have a tendency to try to pick apart most of these polls by finding a previously incorrect poll from the same pollster.  Guess what: every pollster is going to be wrong sometimes.  This doesn't change the overall picture that's emerging from the current polls. If this is getting to you, perhaps it would indeed be a good idea to step away for a few days.

[Buzz]

Minnesota will be closer than NC!

/s


Well by atlas logic who knows

Gloves are off today, Buzz I get the sense that your patience with this forum is growing thin (but maybe that's just me).  

Haha.  I probably need to take a few days off to be honest.  Watching Trump self implode this week combined with so many junk polls being taken as gospel is not a recipe for good posting lol

Nobody (or at least noone with experience in watching elections) is taking the polls as "gospel".  I doubt that anyone really believes Biden is up by 16 nationally at this point.  You seem to be equating people celebrating these polls with them taking the polls as gospel.  We all (should) understand that polls vary and have a margin of error.

No single poll is likely to be absolutely correct.  But when the vast majority of polls show a significant and increasing lead for one candidate, it's a very strong indication that the candidate really is ahead, and getting further ahead.  Why wouldn't Biden's supporters cheer these polls?  

Also, you have a tendency to try to pick apart most of these polls by finding a previously incorrect poll from the same pollster.  Guess what: every pollster is going to be wrong sometimes.  This doesn't change the overall picture that's emerging from the current polls. If this is getting to you, perhaps it would indeed be a good idea to step away for a few days.

GeorgiaModerate keeping me in check as always!  Easily one of the best posters on the site (serious).  I do have a tendency to pick apart polls, but a lot the the junk posted lately is worth picking apart. People are allowed to celebrate good results (I would be doing the same thing) but you have to realize some of the polls are high caliber garbage.

[Hope For A New Era]

Polarized, inelastic state = Safe D

[It’s so Joever]

SurveyUSA is crap.
This is a junk-tier poll.
And way too many undecideds.

[wbrocks67]

10% undecided? Really?

[LiberalDem19]

They underestimated Tina Smith and Tim Walz by around 5% each in 2018 so this is great!

[neostassenite31]

Again, these are polls that are neither particularly good for Trump or Biden

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: Minnesota President by Survey USA on 2020-01-06

Summary: D: 47%, R: 40%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

They underestimated Tina Smith and Tim Walz by around 5% each in 2018 so this is great!

They may have an R bias in MN, I seem to recall a bunch of ludicrous SUSA polls showing McCain competitive here very late in 2008.

[neostassenite31]

They underestimated Tina Smith and Tim Walz by around 5% each in 2018 so this is great!

They may have an R bias in MN, I seem to recall a bunch of ludicrous SUSA polls showing McCain competitive here very late in 2008.

Or the other way around in the 2016 election

[TC 25]

Survey USA was showing Clinton up by 8-9 about two weeks before the election and it ended up 1.5 point race.     Minnesota will be close, within 4 points

[Hammy]

Survey USA was showing Clinton up by 8-9 about two weeks before the election and it ended up 1.5 point race.     Minnesota will be close, within 4 points

This year is not a four way race.

[NOVA Green]

Throw it in the avg... might not be the best pollster and far more undecideds than one would expect at this stage in the election.

Favs / Unfavs for Trump are 39/52 in this poll.

MN will most likely be a Biden 10+% margin once all of the votes are counted.

[tagimaucia]

Survey USA was showing Clinton up by 8-9 about two weeks before the election and it ended up 1.5 point race.     Minnesota will be close, within 4 points

Nope. The Republican ceiling in Minnesota is 45... maybe 46 at most right now, and there isn't gonna be the insanely high third party vote Trump benefited from in 2016.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://www.kaaltv.com/minnesota-news/surveyusa-poll/5888415/

MoE: 3.9%

Some other candidate 3%
Undecided 10%