Trump is going to win Alaska, but this is nevertheless a significant swing against him, given that he won the state by 14% against Hillary Clinton last time around. And if Trump is only up by single digits, that bodes well for Al Gross, who could very well pull off an upset against Dan Sullivan here.
Trump only got 51% of the vote here in 2016. His number in this poll is right about where he was in 2016.
I'm aware of that; Alaska-like always-had one of the largest third-party votes of any state in 2016. This poll suggests that Biden is consolidating most of that vote-as appears to be happening elsewhere in the country. Nevertheless, this still constitutes a swing against Trump, and would be the best Democratic performance in the state in decades. Barack Obama lost Alaska by the same margin as Hillary Clinton in 2012 (both he and Romney received higher percentages than Clinton and Trump), and of course, lost the state by 21% in 2008 because of Sarah Palin. A 4% loss represents a significant improvement for the Democrats, considering this.
