ND: DFM Research: Trump +14 (user search)
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June 10, 2023, 03:06:17 AM
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  ND: DFM Research: Trump +14 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ND: DFM Research: Trump +14  (Read 967 times)
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 10,840
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« on: October 06, 2020, 01:21:29 AM »

Quote
Methodology:
The results presented are based on a stratified random sample of 460 North Dakota residents
over the age of 18. Survey did not use a likely voter screen results represent the North Dakota
public at large. Sample was stratified by five distinct North Dakota regions to ensure a statewide
representative sample; random sample provided by KGS Research. All calls were conducted by
live callers using landline and cell phones, supplemented by text-to-web.
After the numbers were stratified into the appropriate region, telephone numbers were selected
at random using a skip pattern to guarantee interviews were distributed throughout the region.
Each number in the stratified sample had the same non-zero chance of being selected for an
interview.
Telephone interviews were conducted by trained staff of KGS Research of Las Vegas, Nevada,
using a computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI) system for landline phones. Cell phone
interviews are dialed manually to comply with the 1991 Telemarketing Consumer Protection
Act. Callers asked to interview the respondent on the voter file.
Final results are weighted based on gender, age, and education to closely conform to the 2020
population demographics based on census data.
Gender
Male 50%
Age
18-39 38%
Education
Non College 70%
Female 50% 40-64 42% College Degree 30%
 65 plus 20%

So looks to be more of an RV poll (although I believe ND does have one of the higher rates of voter turnout in the Country), and is not weighted by electorate...

Honestly, regardless of these actually polling numbers, it's always struck me that Biden has / had significant room to grow in ND considering that if we assume for sake of argument that Biden is currently leading by somewhere around Obama '08 final numbers nationally, it was after all only 53.2% McCain and 44.5% Obama.... so if anything this might indicate that Biden has more room to improve than Trump at this point.

Fargo will flip back DEM in 2020 "No question", and at this point I would not be surprised if Cass County flips with it....

Here are some numbers for how Fargo has voted in some recent elections:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=386520.msg7560945#msg7560945
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