Looks like McMullin 2016 voters are breaking 41-40 Biden / Trump according to this poll.
Also Biden +16% among women in Utah!
McMullin himself endorsed Biden, so it's clear that many of his voters are heeding him and moving over to the Democrats this year. Hopefully Biden manages to permanently raise the Democratic floor in the state. Given that even Mitt Romney underperformed in the 2018 midterms, losing two counties (Grand and Summit) and almost losing Salt Lake County, I think that he will. Utah is not going to vote over 70% Republican again anytime soon, that much is for sure.
