UT: Y2 Analytics: Trump +10
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  UT: Y2 Analytics: Trump +10
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Author Topic: UT: Y2 Analytics: Trump +10  (Read 1993 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 05, 2020, 01:34:13 PM »

New Poll: Utah President by Y2 Analytics on 2020-10-04

Summary: D: 40%, R: 50%, U: 0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

50% Trump
40% Biden
10% 3rd party
  1% Undecided
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2020, 01:38:04 PM »

Looks like McMullin 2016 voters are breaking 41-40 Biden / Trump according to this poll.

Also Biden +16% among women in Utah!
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Buzz
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« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2020, 01:39:09 PM »

Thatís 2x better than they had him winning by in 2016!
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Astatine
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« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2020, 01:39:34 PM »

With Booker Utah would've been Safe D.
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Forumlurker
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« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2020, 01:40:19 PM »

Thatís 2x better than they had him winning by in 2016!
...thatís really not a good thing for Trump.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2020, 01:40:53 PM »

"There is a considerable gender gap in Utah. Male voters favor Trump by 13 points while women favor Biden by 16 points"

Trump is up 10 but Biden is winning women by 16 points?

Do more men vote in Utah? That seems odd.
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Darthpi is pleasantly surprised
darthpi
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« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2020, 01:41:50 PM »

Biden getting over 40% in Utah would be the best result for a Democratic presidential nominee there since Johnson won it in 1964.
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H. Ross Peron
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« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2020, 01:41:56 PM »

"There is a considerable gender gap in Utah. Male voters favor Trump by 13 points while women favor Biden by 16 points"

Trump is up 10 but Biden is winning women by 16 points?

Do more men vote in Utah? That seems odd.

Western states tend to have gender imbalance ratios in favour of males.
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Holmes
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« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2020, 01:42:05 PM »

"There is a considerable gender gap in Utah. Male voters favor Trump by 13 points while women favor Biden by 16 points"

Trump is up 10 but Biden is winning women by 16 points?

Do more men vote in Utah? That seems odd.

That is weird.
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Buzz
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« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2020, 01:42:59 PM »

Thatís 2x better than they had him winning by in 2016!
...thatís really not a good thing for Trump.
shows the pollster is trash
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ShamDam
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« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2020, 01:44:55 PM »

I'll believe it when I see it. I have a feeling Utah will flirt with diminished Trump support but then come home strongly for him like it did in 2016.
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #11 on: October 05, 2020, 01:45:12 PM »

Thatís 2x better than they had him winning by in 2016!
...thatís really not a good thing for Trump.
shows the pollster is trash

Not a good thing for Trump = the pollster is trash
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ajc0918
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« Reply #12 on: October 05, 2020, 01:46:07 PM »

Utah will eventually go blue like Colorado, Arizona, and Nevada. The solid blue west is within reach.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2020, 01:49:09 PM »

"There is a considerable gender gap in Utah. Male voters favor Trump by 13 points while women favor Biden by 16 points"

Trump is up 10 but Biden is winning women by 16 points?

Do more men vote in Utah? That seems odd.

Not surprising. The morman ďfaithĒ does of course require men to have multiple female concubines but I seriously doubt they are allowed to vote.
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Buzz
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« Reply #14 on: October 05, 2020, 01:49:33 PM »

Thatís 2x better than they had him winning by in 2016!
...thatís really not a good thing for Trump.
shows the pollster is trash

Not a good thing for Trump = the pollster is trash
orrrrrrrr just maybe itís the fact that they were off by nearly 15 points.  Ehh idk maybe Iím reaching.
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Skye
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« Reply #15 on: October 05, 2020, 01:49:40 PM »

Can anyone explain how this:

Women: Biden +16
Men: Trump +13

leads to a Trump +10 result?
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #16 on: October 05, 2020, 01:49:48 PM »

Sad to see that he's underperforming Booker by 19%
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Forumlurker
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« Reply #17 on: October 05, 2020, 01:49:57 PM »

Utah will eventually go blue like Colorado, Arizona, and Nevada. The solid blue west is within reach.
Yes, but only if Democrats become the religious party and Republicans become the SECULAR party.
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Bootes Void
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« Reply #18 on: October 05, 2020, 01:53:10 PM »

Biden breaking 40% here would be historic
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republican1993
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« Reply #19 on: October 05, 2020, 01:55:51 PM »

Y2 had trump +5 as their final poll a bit d friendly but i can see trump winning by 15-20
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Pollster
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« Reply #20 on: October 05, 2020, 01:58:24 PM »

How is Biden winning women by more than he's losing men yet still trailing by double digits statewide? Electorate was 52/48 female in 2016 and 50/50 in 2018.
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new_patomic
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« Reply #21 on: October 05, 2020, 01:59:41 PM »

Maybe it was a typo.
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Cosmic Latte
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« Reply #22 on: October 05, 2020, 01:59:47 PM »

Can anyone explain how this:

Women: Biden +16
Men: Trump +13

leads to a Trump +10 result?

Might be wrong about this but if you use these numbers and work backwards to the gender composition of the electorate, you get something like only 10 or 11% of the electorate being women and the balance being men, which just seems absolutely absurd to me.
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New York En Marche!
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« Reply #23 on: October 05, 2020, 02:12:37 PM »

Can anyone explain how this:

Women: Biden +16
Men: Trump +13

leads to a Trump +10 result?

To everyone wondering this, I'm pretty sure they misreported by reading across the row and not down the column.

It's really Biden +4 among women and Trump +25 among men.

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Ferguson97
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« Reply #24 on: October 05, 2020, 02:30:17 PM »

Can anyone explain how this:

Women: Biden +16
Men: Trump +13

leads to a Trump +10 result?

Does Mormon culture say women shouldn't vote?
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