NC-Sen (PPP): Cunningham +6

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The race remains unaffected by the “sexting” scandal.

Cunningham leads 48-42%, an improvement from the last PPP poll.

58% of voters have heard about the story... and 58% have said it does not affect their vote. Amongst independents, 69% have said they heard about the story, but Cunningham still holds a lead of 53-34% with them.

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/north-carolina-senate-race-unaffected-by-recent-developments/

[Sestak]

bahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha

[VAR]

Favorabilities:
Cunningham: 37/39 (-2)
Tillis: 31/54 (-23)

[Kuumo]

BuT mUH FaMIly VaLUeS SwINg VoTeRS.

No surprise that people care more about healthcare and pre-existing conditions than some “sexts” that were so tame that I could have sent them.

[Sestak]

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/1313175764662091776

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

I'd give the story a little longer to spread; only 58% have heard of it so far. Democrats, independents and HRC all say that (in net) it makes them less likely to vote for him, for whatever that's worth, but the effect appears to be quite small. Post-Trump politics, eh?

October 4-5
911 voters
Changes with July 30-31 poll for Giffords

Cunningham 48% (n/c)
Tillis 42% (-2)
Undecided 11% (+3)

[wbrocks67]

I'd give the story a little longer to spread; only 58% have heard of it so far. Democrats, independents and HRC all say that (in net) it makes them less likely to vote for him, for whatever that's worth, but the effect appears to be quite small. Post-Trump politics, eh?

October 4-5
911 voters
Changes with July 30-31 poll for Giffords

Cunningham 48% (n/c)
Tillis 42% (-2)
Undecided 11% (+3)

Nearly 60% of voters know about it and his margin has actually gone *up* since last time. I don't think it's resonating.

[Alben Barkley]

I’m actually slightly surprised. I expected that many of the same people who were willing to vote for Trump — after the “grab ‘em by the pussy” tape, all the allegations of “misconduct” and worse, the affairs with porn stars, everything — would clutch their pearls and refuse to vote for a man who called a woman “historically sexy” and said he’d like to kiss her. Pleasantly surprised that doesn’t seem to be the case. As Cunningham is outrunning Biden here, that means there are probably still some Trump/Cunningham voters. Can’t fault them for being hypocrites in this case, I guess.

[ProgressiveModerate]

What's interesting is when polls (like this one) has high undecides, Cunningham seems to be leading by low to mid single digits. In the polls with low undecides he leads by close to double digits, or double digits. I really don't think he's going to be winning by 10%+, but I'm really interested in why Cunningham is outperforming Biden

[KaiserDave]

That was funny while it lasted

[Alben Barkley]

I'd give the story a little longer to spread; only 58% have heard of it so far. Democrats, independents and HRC all say that (in net) it makes them less likely to vote for him, for whatever that's worth, but the effect appears to be quite small. Post-Trump politics, eh?

October 4-5
911 voters
Changes with July 30-31 poll for Giffords

Cunningham 48% (n/c)
Tillis 42% (-2)
Undecided 11% (+3)

Nearly 60% of voters know about it and his margin has actually gone *up* since last time. I don't think it's resonating.

Yeah it’s only Tillis who has lost anything. Maybe people are more concerned by his COVID diagnosis than Cunningham’s “””””sexting.”””””

[ON Progressive]

North Carolina wants their Senators to be historically sexy.

[WD]

but muh scandals

[Landslide Lyndon]

I'd give the story a little longer to spread; only 58% have heard of it so far. Democrats, independents and HRC all say that (in net) it makes them less likely to vote for him, for whatever that's worth, but the effect appears to be quite small. Post-Trump politics, eh?)

Um, where did you see that? The tweet says that 80% of non-Trump voters say it doesn't make any difference to them.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

I'd give the story a little longer to spread; only 58% have heard of it so far. Democrats, independents and HRC all say that (in net) it makes them less likely to vote for him, for whatever that's worth, but the effect appears to be quite small. Post-Trump politics, eh?)

Um, where did you see that? The tweet says that 80% of non-Trump voters say it doesn't make any difference to them.

In the poll, 58% of respondents say they've heard of it

[Landslide Lyndon]

I'd give the story a little longer to spread; only 58% have heard of it so far. Democrats, independents and HRC all say that (in net) it makes them less likely to vote for him, for whatever that's worth, but the effect appears to be quite small. Post-Trump politics, eh?)

Um, where did you see that? The tweet says that 80% of non-Trump voters say it doesn't make any difference to them.

In the poll, 58% of respondents say they've heard of it

I'm referring to the second part of your post.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

I'd give the story a little longer to spread; only 58% have heard of it so far. Democrats, independents and HRC all say that (in net) it makes them less likely to vote for him, for whatever that's worth, but the effect appears to be quite small. Post-Trump politics, eh?)

Um, where did you see that? The tweet says that 80% of non-Trump voters say it doesn't make any difference to them.

In the poll, 58% of respondents say they've heard of it

I'm referring to the second part of your post.

Check the crosstabs

Clinton voters 4% more likely/8% less likely
Democratic 7% more likely/13% less likely

[Xing]

But I thought Cunningham's lewd behavior (totally worse than Trump's!!!) would make this race Lean/Likely R!! And what about the sympathy bump for Tillis??

I except it to be closer than this, but Tillis's favorability ratings make it clear why it's not that unreasonable to think he could underperform Trump by a bit (as he is in this poll.) Tillis isn't done for yet, but he's running out of time to make up the gap.

[GALeftist]

I'd give the story a little longer to spread; only 58% have heard of it so far. Democrats, independents and HRC all say that (in net) it makes them less likely to vote for him, for whatever that's worth, but the effect appears to be quite small. Post-Trump politics, eh?)

Um, where did you see that? The tweet says that 80% of non-Trump voters say it doesn't make any difference to them.

In the poll, 58% of respondents say they've heard of it

I'm referring to the second part of your post.

Check the crosstabs

Clinton voters 4% more likely/8% less likely
Democratic 7% more likely/13% less likely

Not gonna lie, it would be very surprising to me if respondents said that they were *more* likely to vote for a candidate after a sex scandal. Also, I think the margins you just listed would be more aptly described as more or less a wash than a net hit to Cunningham's margin.

[UWS]

After Cunningham's originally double-digit lead so much reduced, it sounds clear that this sexting scandal is the last thing the Democrats needed.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

After Cunningham's originally double-digit lead so much reduced, it sounds clear that this sexting scandal is the last thing the Democrats needed.

Double-digit lead?

When did Cunningham ever consistently have a double-digit lead? One or 2 outlier polls maybe but not regularly. He has usually lead by 2-6%, which is exactly where he is at in this poll.

[Landslide Lyndon]

After Cunningham's originally double-digit lead so much reduced, it sounds clear that this sexting scandal is the last thing the Democrats needed.

Uhhh, you are aware that this is actually an improvement over his previous PPP poll, aren't you?

[Arkansas Yankee]

Favorabilities:
Cunningham: 37/39 (-2)
Tillis: 31/54 (-23)

Wonder what Cunningham favorable.   Should go up because he is a Clinton, Kennedy, or an FDR now.

[Charlotca]

Favorabilities:
Cunningham: 37/39 (-2)
Tillis: 31/54 (-23)

Wonder what Cunningham favorable.   Should go up because he is a Clinton, Kennedy, or an FDR now.

That number is literally in the thing you're quoting.

Wonder what Arkansas Yankee IQ.   Should go up because he is a paint huffer.

[GALeftist]

After Cunningham's originally double-digit lead so much reduced, it sounds clear that this sexting scandal is the last thing the Democrats needed.

Why are blue MI avatars consistently coping on this forum