NBC/WSJ: Biden +14

[ExSky]

Wow what a big lead. Wouldn’t it be nice if James Comey leaked a meaningless fbi investigation to mess things up?

Don’t disappear in a month now Buzz. We’ll be waiting

[Crumpets]

Trump is at his lowest number on the RCP national average since September 2nd while Biden is tied for his best since June 23rd.

[It’s so Joever]

Wasn’t this right after P-gate?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Right after the Access Hollywood tape came out. 

[Ferguson97]

Good thing pollsters have updated their methodology and have started controlling for education

The same pollster ended up having Clinton+5 a few days before the election, which is pretty damn close and within the margin of error

Let’s see where we are in November. I imagine you won’t be as smug.

[Buzz]

Wow what a big lead. Wouldn’t it be nice if James Comey leaked a meaningless fbi investigation to mess things up?

Don’t disappear in a month now Buzz. We’ll be waiting

oh I won’t be.  I did promise thought if Trump lost Florida I would leave on 11/7 and not return until March 2022.  I think Biden will win 290-248 FWIW!!

[Kuumo]

Hear me out

Just replace Genghis with Biden

We could have a cage match between Genghis Biden and Attila Loeffler.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Hot damn.

[WD]

ummm did I die in my sleep? Is this heaven?

[Alben Barkley]

Right after the Access Hollywood tape came out.  

Yes. In that election, Clinton would see spikes like that whenever Trump did something especially stupid or controversial. But they never lasted long, the race remained pretty tight and fluctuated a lot. This is about the best she ever polled. Then of course she had her own “scandal” thanks to Comey that eroded her lead.

This election, on the other hand, has been remarkably steady, with Biden routinely cracking into the 50s and having double digit leads the whole time. Trump’s only led in like 1 Rasmussen poll in the past god knows how many months. It’s not comparable at all. Trump needed to turn something around desperately, instead if anything it’s just getting worse for him on the home stretch.

[Brittain33]

In b4 Kanye Kayne West says its a 278 map because of Trump approval ratings.

[ExSky]

Wow what a big lead. Wouldn’t it be nice if James Comey leaked a meaningless fbi investigation to mess things up?

Don’t disappear in a month now Buzz. We’ll be waiting

oh I won’t be.  I did promise thought if Trump lost Florida I would leave on 11/7 and not return until March 2022.  I think Biden will win 290-248 FWIW!!

Wow what a big man

[Alben Barkley]

I mean, it seems like literally the only thing that both Trump supporters and doomers/concern trolls have left to argue is “but 2016.”

But they completely fail to understand what happened in that election and why. And how this is totally different. For one thing, Biden is actually liked whereas Hillary was not. For another, Trump now has a (horrible) record to defend; he can’t just run as the outsider telling people “What have you got to lose?” anymore. Now people know the answer to that question, and don’t like it to say the least. This is why there are fewer undecideds in the first place, and why those who remain are leaning towards Biden this time.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All hope is gone for the Trump campaign, he isn't gonna be Prez come Jan 2021

[Clarence Boddicker]

If Trump wins despite all this, I'm convinced there will never be a one term president in my lifetime.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Joe's getting ing killed

This is worse than I expected for Joe

Biden has lost. No question about it.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Also, I absolutely love how folks are predicting Texas to be 50/50 if the national popular vote is 9-10%


Yet if it's 14%, Texas is predicted to be......50/50

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Also, I absolutely love how folks are predicting Texas to be 50/50 if the national popular vote is 9-10%


Yet if it's 14%, Texas is predicted to be......50/50

Biden could have a 20,000 vote lead on election night with the only remaining precincts left to report from Travis County and people would still call it Lean R.

[It’s so Joever]

Joe's getting ing killed

This is worse than I expected for Joe

Biden has lost. No question about it.

Yeah...that’s a major self-own by me.

[ultraviolet]

Also, I absolutely love how folks are predicting Texas to be 50/50 if the national popular vote is 9-10%


Yet if it's 14%, Texas is predicted to be......50/50

If you’re referring to this:

Biden on 53% is massive. What does the map look like if he gets 53 or 54% in the PV?

Clinton states + AZ, FL, GA, ME-2, MI, NE-2, NC, OH, PA, WI - 50/50 on IA, TX...

The question was if Biden got 53/54, not +14

[WD]

I think this might be a trend and not just a bump:

https://mobile.twitter.com/ppppolls/status/1312803416935194624

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Crosstabs: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/7221894-200781-NBCWSJ-October-Post-Debate-Poll-1b.html

I don't see any crosstabs there, just topline, unless I'm missing them?

[Orser67]

Divide the "not sures" equally between Biden and Trump, and you get Biden 56%, Trump 42%, Other 2%

[Alben Barkley]

Divide the "not sures" equally between Biden and Trump, and you get Biden 56%, Trump 42%, Other 2%

And it's probably not gonna be equal, most indications are most lean more towards Biden so...

[The Mikado]

For the "But 2016" crowd, please click this link:

https://public.tableau.com/profile/ckelly2528/vizhome/PollingAverages/MAIN?publish=yes#!/vizhome/PollingAverages/MAIN