New York (Siena): Biden +32 (user search)
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  New York (Siena): Biden +32 (search mode)
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Author Topic: New York (Siena): Biden +32  (Read 2363 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
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Posts: 19,684
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« on: October 02, 2020, 07:40:41 AM »

Trump should be doing better in Long Island, Orange, Suffern...that's his white FDNY/NYPD cop base is, it should be at least tied
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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Posts: 19,684
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« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2020, 08:23:30 AM »

Biden is not leading by 20 points in upstate. Even Obama '08 only won by 6 points there. With a sample size of 197 it's a worthless metric.
He is not leading in the suburbs by 14 points either. The white NYPD cops hate Biden and Harris there. More like 7 points
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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Posts: 19,684
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2020, 08:38:53 AM »

Biden is not leading by 20 points in upstate. Even Obama '08 only won by 6 points there. With a sample size of 197 it's a worthless metric.
He is not leading in the suburbs by 14 points either. The white NYPD cops hate Biden and Harris there. More like 7 points

You really think cops control how the suburbs vote lol? There may be certain neighborhoods they might change the result in, but overall there won't be too much of an effect. Not to mention they likely voted heavily for Trump in 2016 to begin with.

Those upstate numbers in this poll are incredible. Shows a very tough race for Trump across the upper midwest.
Yes, because the GOP is coordinating with police unions in Rockland, Nassau etc.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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Posts: 19,684
United States


« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2020, 10:15:56 AM »

I remember when red avatars here believed that police unions endorsing Trump would mean Biden performing worse than HRC in 2016.

It may cost Democrats some seats in the State Legislature (Nassau, Rockland, etc)

But Democrats will continue their trifecta
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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Posts: 19,684
United States


« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2020, 10:55:27 AM »

Biden is not leading by 20 points in upstate. Even Obama '08 only won by 6 points there. With a sample size of 197 it's a worthless metric.
He is not leading in the suburbs by 14 points either. The white NYPD cops hate Biden and Harris there. More like 7 points

You really think cops control how the suburbs vote lol? There may be certain neighborhoods they might change the result in, but overall there won't be too much of an effect. Not to mention they likely voted heavily for Trump in 2016 to begin with.

Those upstate numbers in this poll are incredible. Shows a very tough race for Trump across the upper midwest.
Yes, because the GOP is coordinating with police unions in Rockland, Nassau etc.

You do understand most people in Rockland, Nassau, etc. are not employed by the NYPD, don't you?

Um, a lot of them are. Why do you think that the NYC PBA endorses candidates outside of NYC?

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Suburbia
bronz4141
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Posts: 19,684
United States


« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2020, 01:10:09 PM »
« Edited: October 04, 2020, 02:02:12 PM by Atlanta 1997 World Champs »

H. Clinton won NY by 23 points (2016)
B. Obama won NY by 28 points (2012)

Biden wins by 29

But he loses Rockland, Orange and Suffolk Counties

NY GOP picks up seats on LI, but not enough to win

LI is more purple than red

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dF00ojc3Gw8
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