This is quite something. Even a forum dominated by Dem hacks, who have been insisting that this race was a toss-up or at the very least Lean R for months, there is this caricature that the "Atlas" opinion is that this race is Safe R, which almost nobody believes. This type of mentality is so twisted that you somehow convince yourself you have the minority opinion when it's obvious you don't. I've been almost alone in saying this race is not competitive.
Laughable. The consensus on this forum was always that this was a race where Republicans were heavily favored in (far more so than in IA, with many unironically arguing this even with Kobach as the R nominee), so I think it’s more a case of you creating a caricature of "Atlas" opinion which doesn’t reflect actual reality.
If you had been paying more attention, you’d have noticed the barrage of "Kobach was uniquely weak", "Republicans aren’t losing a federal race in this state", "Roger Marshall definitely makes this Safe R", "Kansas hasn’t elected a Democratic Senator since the 1930s", "even Kobach [and Goebbels!] wouldn’t lose a
Senate race", "the country is way too polarized for this to be competitive", "it’s a presidential year with Trump at the top of the ticket", etc. "arguments" directed at anyone who argued that Bollier might actually have a chance in this race. This forum (including most Democratic "hacks" with the exception of wbrocks and maybe one or two red avatars) has always been extremely pessimistic about most "red" state Senate races (KS, MT, TX, GA-R, GA-S, AL, etc.), certainly far more so than in 2017/2018, when it was way too overconfident about races like IN and MO.
