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October 21, 2020, 02:27:42 AM
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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  GA-Quinnipiac: Ossoff +1, Warnock +8
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Author Topic: GA-Quinnipiac: Ossoff +1, Warnock +8  (Read 594 times)
Electoral Titan Kim Reynolds
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« on: September 29, 2020, 01:06:48 PM »

Ossoff 49%
Perdue 48%

Warnock 31%
Loeffler 23%
Collins 22%
Lieberman 9%
Tarver 4%

https://poll.qu.edu/georgia/release-detail?ReleaseID=3676
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2020, 01:08:11 PM »

September 23-27
1125 likely voters
MoE: 2.9%

REG
Someone else 0% (but some voters)
Don't know/no answer 2%

SPE
Someone else 0% (but some voters)
Don't know/no answer 12%
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n1240
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« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2020, 01:08:54 PM »

Poll seems D friendly but it should quell some of the chicken little-ing of an unlikely R vs R runoff in the special.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #3 on: September 29, 2020, 01:09:11 PM »

If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?

Democratic 49%
Republican 48%
Don't know/no answer 3%
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Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same
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« Reply #4 on: September 29, 2020, 01:09:20 PM »

I think people really underrate the possibility of GA-R being seat 51 for the Dems.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #5 on: September 29, 2020, 01:10:29 PM »

oh nice
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Unbeatable Titan Joni Ernst
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« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2020, 01:12:29 PM »

True if big
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2020, 01:13:17 PM »

Good news
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Horus
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« Reply #8 on: September 29, 2020, 01:15:09 PM »

Looks like Warnock's spot is locked, next step is to make sure KKKelly makes the runoff.
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We Live in Black and White
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« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2020, 01:16:56 PM »

Warnock vs. Loeffler is the absolute best case scenario for us when it comes to that seat.
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Xing
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« Reply #10 on: September 29, 2020, 01:20:12 PM »

Nah, everyone knows Georgia is trapped in a state of perpetual inelasticity and Titanium Tilt R-edness.
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Monstro Believes in a Blue Texas & a Blue Georgia
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« Reply #11 on: September 29, 2020, 01:20:26 PM »

I think people really underrate the possibility of GA-R being seat 51 for the Dems.

This race feels oddly slept on. I think it's with or right behind Montana in terms of pickup potential.

Biden would be wise to give Ossoff a little push
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #12 on: September 29, 2020, 01:21:39 PM »

Perdue’s Gwinnett GOTV Gang is in disarray!
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Abolish class
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« Reply #13 on: September 29, 2020, 01:22:40 PM »

Pump this straight into my veins
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Electoral Titan Kim Reynolds
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« Reply #14 on: September 29, 2020, 01:33:50 PM »

GA-R: A slight outlier (at least for now), but yes, Ossoff is quite underrated in general.
GA-S: The inevitable finally happened.
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Beida
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« Reply #15 on: September 29, 2020, 01:56:15 PM »

That sweet moment on the night of Tuesday, Nov. 3 when GA-R, IA-Sen, MT-Sen, and SC-Sen are all extremely close. There goes the red wall!
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #16 on: September 29, 2020, 04:57:12 PM »

I think people really underrate the possibility of GA-R being seat 51 for the Dems.

Yep, we even talked about this over DM I think. Ossoff/Warnock win before Greenfield imo
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Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same
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« Reply #17 on: September 29, 2020, 05:01:31 PM »

I think people really underrate the possibility of GA-R being seat 51 for the Dems.

Yep, we even talked about this over DM I think. Ossoff/Warnock win before Greenfield imo

A part of me feels that Greenfield will eek it out. We’ll have to see what happens.
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Arlington County Moderate 4 Trump (Against Bernie)
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« Reply #18 on: September 29, 2020, 05:54:33 PM »
« Edited: September 29, 2020, 05:57:56 PM by Bipartisan Bills or Bust »

Perdue’s Gwinnett GOTV Gang is in disarray!

It’s in full gear, it just isn’t enough

Broken down by CD:

CD-1: Ossoff +9
CD-2: Ossoff +17
CD-3: Tie
CD-4: Ossoff +15
CD-5: Ossoff +38
CD-6: Perdue +31
CD-7: Perdue +26
CD-8: Ossoff +4
CD-9: Perdue +10
CD-10: Perdue +9
CD-11: Perdue +33
CD-12: Ossoff +5
CD-13: Perdue +2
CD-14: Perdue +13

The big story here is Ossoff's overperformance in CD-4 and CD-5 (also CD-13 is much closer than expected), so it could be that national trends are starting to make a dent even in this race

Cobb County needs to "find" more votes ASAP...
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #19 on: September 29, 2020, 07:06:35 PM »

I think people are skewed by the Monmouth poll but those Perdue +5/6 polls are outliers. A majority of the polls have had the race about tied.
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Harvey Lee Updyke III🌹
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« Reply #20 on: September 29, 2020, 11:25:25 PM »

New Poll: Georgia Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2020-09-27

Summary: D: 49%, R: 48%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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