Wow, Trump is only up by 3 while losing Hispanics by 4.. which we all know ain't happening. TX continues to be a dead heat.
The margins in these Texas polls seem predicated on how well Hispanics are sampled.
I'd like to plot it with previous polls, but it feels like these Trump 3+ polls are due to polling within 10% of Hispanics and in the 40s with them. Since Bush 2004, only Gov. Abbott seems to have gotten close by losing them 55-44 & 53-42 in 2014/2018 respectively (Based on exit polls).
Unless Trump has an Abbott-esque performance with Hispanics, I think we're seeing another "Nevada problem" in the making
