Armenia—Azerbaijan Conflict Aftermath: Discord in Armenia

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Is there any concern that Armenia might ethnically cleanse Azeris if it gains the upper hand or is Azerbaijan the only combatant with genocidal intent?

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

We need a map to see what is going on.

You mean something like liveUAmap?

Wonderful resource.

Currently it's saying Azerbaijan is admitting that it's turned over the air operation to the Turkish Air Force. I guess we'll see how true that is.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

https://twitter.com/AliTahmizian/status/1507838457984524291?s=20&t=rf7o8ETve...

For some reason I thought Iran and Azerbaijan were on good terms. Did Russia pressure them to say this?

I can't give you a totally up-to-date picture on their relationship, but they were at a logger-heads as recently as last summer, I recall. There are a few key issues contributing to this. (1) Longstanding Russo-Armenian-Iranian ties, which need not be discussed at length; (2) An ever-emboldened Azerbaijan which might imagine "liberating" the periphery of a greater Azerbaijan with land in both modern-day Armenia (where there have been regular cross-border incursions) and modern-day Iran (which has a sizable Azeri population in its northwest); (3) The Israeli-Turkey/Azerbaijan rapprochement, fuel agreements, and weapons sales, which forces Iranian policymakers to imagine an Israeli intelligence outpost right on their borders.

There nevertheless may have been recent signs that tensions were ebbing--as evidenced by a chance Google find mere moments ago pointing to a recent Iranian-Azerbaijani transit relationship that (once again) circumnavigates Armenia.

Indeed, there are by most counts more Azeris in Iran than there are in Azerbaijan, just as Afghanistan has more Tajiks than Tajikistan.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

The fact is, Azerbaijan has always been a better nation for our own geopolitical interests. It’s shocking people are finally realizing this. The only reason many don’t see this is because of the Armenian-American lobbyists, who (rightfully so given this is their people who are being massacred) have been doing their best to push the public against this.

Since Azerbaijan is almost a proxy for Turkey at this point, there's also the little matter of the Armenian genocide, which said lobbyists have done a good job of keeping in the American public conscious. It must be unfortunate to tied in knots trying to act according to your interests while maintaining your claimed moral high ground, since the moral high ground decidedly belongs to the Armenians/Russians on that.

Yes, this is a reasonable series of points; I wonder if--

Might it be better to have a foreign policy that basically says, let's keep out of each others' business and make money together?

--never mind. Go back to Ducktales and mind your nephews, Scrooge.