NBC/Marist: Biden +8 in MI, Biden +10 in WIS (user search)
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  NBC/Marist: Biden +8 in MI, Biden +10 in WIS (search mode)
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Author Topic: NBC/Marist: Biden +8 in MI, Biden +10 in WIS  (Read 2793 times)
tagimaucia
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Posts: 570


« on: September 27, 2020, 08:33:55 AM »

Biden is clearly ahead by a few points in these states, but I don't really trust Marist "We still refuse to weight by education" Poll all that much in the rust belt.  

The numbers seem less egregious in Michigan on this poll, maybe their weighting-by-region thing helped a bit.  But still too high on college educated whites in Wisconsin.
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tagimaucia
Jr. Member
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Posts: 570


« Reply #1 on: September 27, 2020, 09:39:41 AM »

Biden is clearly ahead by a few points in these states, but I don't really trust Marist "We still refuse to weight by education" Poll all that much in the rust belt.  

The numbers seem less egregious in Michigan on this poll, maybe their weighting-by-region thing helped a bit.  But still too high on college educated whites in Wisconsin.

Wisconsin’s college attainment percentage is 38.7. It’s 39% in this poll. 

This poll is 35% college educated whites, the correct number is more like 30% or 29%.  I'm aware that exit polls have showed it higher, but a lot of people have clearly shown that exit polls are systematically garbage on this.  Anyway, Biden's still almost certainly ahead in Wisconsin by mid single digits, maybe I'm nitpicking too much.
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