What will the next party system look like?

[dw93]

It's too early to say honestly, as I can see both party coalitions going a variety of way depending on how the next two to three elections go. I can see a few scenarios:

1. Politics continue to be dominated by cultural/social issues, but the GOP gets it sh**t together when it comes to minority outreach due demographics. In this case, poorer, socially conservative Black and Latino voters (particularly black and latino men) start trending heavily Republican if the the GOP returns to a Bush era immigration stance (or as close to it as possible) while continuing down a populist path Post Trump. Asian voters however continue to trend heavily Democratic, while the White vote is split by gender, with white women going overwhelmingly Democratic, while white men (minus post grads and odd balls like me) becoming even more Republican. Both parties are economically populist in one form or another.

2. The GOP gets beat the  out at the Presidential level through the 2020s and you see a party system that somewhat resembles the 5th party system. The Democrats become a socially liberal version of the New Deal era Democratic party, while the Republicans, after a string of defeats for the Presidency and, more often than not, the House, emerge as a center right check and balance on a dominant Democratic party. This assumes though that a 6-3 Conservative Supreme Court doesn't completely rig the deck in the favor of the Republicans against the will of the people.

3. Both parties continue to go into the fringes, racial tensions continue to increase, and the country becomes even more tribal and polarized. Both parties change the rules and laws each time they have the Presidency and Congress (court packing, legislative process/rules, etc..) for the sake of political gain and trying to secure power for themselves, officially and permanently destroying our democracy and institutions in the process. Basically late 6th party system (2010-Present) on steroids. This definitely happens if Trump gets a second term, but there's a decent chance this happens after a Biden win to.