Fox News: Biden+11 in NV, +5 in OH, +7 in PA,

[Alben Barkley]

OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!

[Alben Barkley]

OH will be more than just two points more Republican than PA, but I never bought IA being more winnable for Democrats than OH.

OH will vote to the right of IA, wanna change our bet from TX and IA to OH and IA

I highly doubt this.

[Alben Barkley]

RV and LV gap seems pretty small here, NV is Biden+10, OH is Biden+5, PA is Biden+8. The ABC/WaPo LV screens seemed to screen out around 18% of RV, here it is about 7-8% of RV.

This seems more sensible. Especially because I think turnout will be quite high this year.

[Alben Barkley]

Very excited to watch Karl Rove have another meltdown when Ohio puts Biden over the top.

2012 was a great year. 2020 could redeem itself if it suddenly becomes a 2012 throwback in the closing stretch.

[Alben Barkley]

Very excited to watch Karl Rove have another meltdown when Ohio puts Biden over the top.

2012 was a great year. 2020 could redeem itself if it suddenly becomes a 2012 throwback in the closing stretch.

Noooo, way too stressful. I'd prefer more like the closing in 2008 when Obama won going away and most national polls were high single digit, low double digit leads.

Well in terms of polling, it IS like that right now.

I just have fond memories of 2012 in general. Among other things, a time when even if the Republican won, it wouldn't have been the end of the world? Seems like paradise compared to today.

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/1309262152906215424

Perhaps it's not a good idea to dismiss the deaths from COVID, most of which were 65+.

The boomers are gonna save the world.

[Alben Barkley]

So here on Atlas this is being taken as gold standard material, but the ABC/Washington Post poll is outlier garbage?


LOL

If both polls were accurate, Trump would be f--ked.

[Alben Barkley]

So Ohio is going to vote 9% to the left of Florida lol if we compare Fox and ABC poll

Compare the averages, my dude.

Also, the ABC AZ/FL polls had really weird and really wide RV/LV splits; Biden is winning Florida without the LV screen, but losing it by 4 with it. Was probably just a weird outlier. The giveaway was they had Mark Kelly only up by 1 in the same poll, even though he's up big in just about every other poll.

[Alben Barkley]

Fox News has been riding that D hard this cycle.  Makes everything they put out skeptical.  All of Biden’s best polls in most states are Fox.


Likely junk.

"I don't like it, therefore it's JUNK."

Not even true that Biden's best polls have been from Fox by the way. Ironically, that ABC/WaPo poll showing him up by 16 in MN is one of his best probably. But somehow I bet you'd call that "junk" too even though you like outliers by the same pollster that are better for Trump.