AR-02 - brilliant corners Research & Strategies (D): Elliott +2

[VAR]

Sep 10-16, 605 LV

Elliott (D) 48%
Hill (R-inc.) 46%

https://emilyslist.org/news/entry/joyce-elliott-leads-rep.-french-hill-in-arkansas-2nd-district

[Pericles]

Is this a different pollster that also had it as a Dem gain recently?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

yes please mommy

[Stuart98]

Is this a different pollster that also had it as a Dem gain recently?

The one you're thinking of was Hendrix College and was Hill +2.

[Pericles]

Is this a different pollster that also had it as a Dem gain recently?

The one you're thinking of was Hendrix College and was Hill +2.

Oh so this is even better and makes it unlikely that one was just an outlier.  That's a great sign! And what are comparable seats in other states that Dems could also gain?

[Benjamin Frank]

Is this a different pollster that also had it as a Dem gain recently?

The one you're thinking of was Hendrix College and was Hill +2.

Oh so this is even better and makes it unlikely that one was just an outlier.  That's a great sign! And what are comparable seats in other states that Dems could also gain?

Arkansas-2 is the Little Rock and area based district.  So, a comparable seat would probably be other smaller cities and their metro areas.  That might include:

1.Kentucky 6, Lexington Based
2.Michigan 3, Grand Rapids based
3.New York 24, Syracuse based
4.Texas 17?, Waco based

[lfromnj]

Is this a different pollster that also had it as a Dem gain recently?

The one you're thinking of was Hendrix College and was Hill +2.

Oh so this is even better and makes it unlikely that one was just an outlier.  That's a great sign! And what are comparable seats in other states that Dems could also gain?

Arkansas-2 is the Little Rock and area based district.  So, a comparable seat would probably be other smaller cities and their metro areas.  That might include:

1.Kentucky 6, Lexington Based
2.Michigan 3, Grand Rapids based
3.New York 24, Syracuse based
4.Texas 17?, Waco based

Texas 17th has a slice of Austin btw.

Anyway the AR GOP found a way to get rid of the commission ballot measure so this will just be promptly gerrymandered even if Ds somehow win it. I expect them to make 1 county split with Pulaski. .

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

AR is ready to party like its 1996.

[VAR]

I knew this seat wouldn't be competitive. Junk poll!

[Hope For A New Era]

"Elliott? More like Elliott County amirite"