I think I can accept KS as a tie with high undecideds, and I can accept a result of Peters+5 from MI, but it would be very hard for me to accept them as part of the same universe.
Remains the case that Barbara Bollier has never led in a poll against Roger Marshall, though, even though she's tied more than once. (Interestingly this is also the case for Jaime Harrison against Lindsey Graham. You'd think there'd be a SHOCK POLL out eventually, but actually neither race is seeing all that much polling).
I think Kelly only got as high as +2 in 2018 and she won by 5, so there's that I guess?