SurveyMonkey: Biden +9 nationally & 50 states
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April 21, 2021, 02:26:54 PM

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  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE, ON Progressive)
  SurveyMonkey: Biden +9 nationally & 50 states
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Author Topic: SurveyMonkey: Biden +9 nationally & 50 states  (Read 1755 times)
VAR
VARepublican
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« on: September 24, 2020, 06:35:08 AM »
« edited: September 24, 2020, 10:44:55 AM by VARepublican »

Sep 21

National (94,495 RV)
Biden 53%
Trump 44%

MI (1889 RV)
Biden 53%
Trump 43%

PA (2616 RV)
Biden 52%
Trump 45%

WI (2270 RV)
Biden 51%
Trump 46%

https://www.tableau.com/data-insights/us-election-2020/candidate-preference
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2020, 06:36:27 AM »

The numbers are plausible but SurveyMonkey is a Zogby/Trafalgar level pollster.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2020, 06:37:38 AM »

SurveyMonkey is not a good pollster and usually pretty bullish on Trump so color me surprised.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2020, 06:38:13 AM »

No to Michigan and PA (within reason, anyway), maybe for WI.  I'd be more surprised if Trump wins Wisconsin at this stage than if Biden wins it by 5+ points, though.  
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2020, 10:29:41 AM »

We've stooped to looking at SurveyMonkey polls?
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2020, 10:31:09 AM »

We've stooped to looking at SurveyMonkey polls?

They've got Biden tied in SC but only up by seven in RI. 

What? You have a problem with that, GM?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2020, 10:35:38 AM »

We've stooped to looking at SurveyMonkey polls?

They've got Biden tied in SC but only up by seven in RI. 

What? You have a problem with that, GM?

Well, Fitzgerald wrote that the test of intelligence is the ability to hold two opposing ideas in one's mind at the same time.  But you have to draw the line somewhere. Wink
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2020, 10:39:52 AM »

Iím in the process of adding all 50 state polls for September to the database.

About 20 done.

Could take a while ...

VARepublican: please change the thread title, itís a 50 state poll.
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Frank
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« Reply #8 on: September 24, 2020, 10:43:30 AM »

Iím in the process of adding all 50 state polls for September to the database.

About 20 done.

Could take a while ...

VARepublican: please change the thread title, itís a 50 state poll.

Maybe we could get people from the polling firms to add their results here.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #9 on: September 24, 2020, 10:58:23 AM »

Iím in the process of adding all 50 state polls for September to the database.

About 20 done.

Could take a while ...

VARepublican: please change the thread title, itís a 50 state poll.

Maybe we could get people from the polling firms to add their results here.

If someone else wants to add them, no problem ... I stopped after IA.
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7sergi9
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« Reply #10 on: September 24, 2020, 11:23:03 AM »

IOWA
Trump 51% (+5)
Biden 46%
.
TEXAS
Trump 50% (+3)
Biden 47%
.
NEVADA
Trump 49% (+2)
Biden 47%
.
ARIZONA
Trump 49%
Biden 49%
.
NEW MEXICO
Biden 50% (+2)
Trump 48%

Lol, Trump 350 EC
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #11 on: September 24, 2020, 11:24:36 AM »

IOWA
Trump 51% (+5)
Biden 46%
.
TEXAS
Trump 50% (+3)
Biden 47%
.
NEVADA
Trump 49% (+2)
Biden 47%
.
ARIZONA
Trump 49%
Biden 49%
.
NEW MEXICO
Biden 50% (+2)
Trump 48%

Lol, Trump 350 EC

Lol Biden doesn't need IA and TX
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #12 on: September 24, 2020, 11:32:36 AM »

IOWA
Trump 51% (+5)
Biden 46%
.
TEXAS
Trump 50% (+3)
Biden 47%
.
NEVADA
Trump 49% (+2)
Biden 47%
.
ARIZONA
Trump 49%
Biden 49%
.
NEW MEXICO
Biden 50% (+2)
Trump 48%

Lol, Trump 350 EC

I was too busy looking at states like SC (tied), RI (Biden +7), etc. etc. to notice New Mexico.  What would the map even look like if all of these states verified as in this data-set?

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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #13 on: September 24, 2020, 11:33:17 AM »

According to the 538 grades, SurveyMonkey is literally the worst polling firm that the site is still willing to include in their averages.
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Imaginary Populist Ste. Genevieve Trump-Galloway Voter
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« Reply #14 on: September 24, 2020, 11:33:49 AM »

Trump +5 in Iowa, Trump +3 in Indiana.


Seems legit.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #15 on: September 24, 2020, 11:33:56 AM »

IOWA
Trump 51% (+5)
Biden 46%
.
TEXAS
Trump 50% (+3)
Biden 47%
.
NEVADA
Trump 49% (+2)
Biden 47%
.
ARIZONA
Trump 49%
Biden 49%
.
NEW MEXICO
Biden 50% (+2)
Trump 48%

Lol, Trump 350 EC

I was too busy looking at states like SC (tied), RI (Biden +7), etc. etc. to notice New Mexico. 

What a crazy poll-set. 

Yeah, to start, SurveyMonkey doesn't have a track record that's all that great. On top of that, when you conduct dozens of polls at a time like this, you are bound to get wonky results like NM and RI, since there's less control over the quality of your data set.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #16 on: September 24, 2020, 11:36:20 AM »

IOWA
Trump 51% (+5)
Biden 46%
.
TEXAS
Trump 50% (+3)
Biden 47%
.
NEVADA
Trump 49% (+2)
Biden 47%
.
ARIZONA
Trump 49%
Biden 49%
.
NEW MEXICO
Biden 50% (+2)
Trump 48%

Lol, Trump 350 EC

I was too busy looking at states like SC (tied), RI (Biden +7), etc. etc. to notice New Mexico. 

What a crazy poll-set. 

Yeah, to start, SurveyMonkey doesn't have a track record that's all that great. On top of that, when you conduct dozens of polls at a time like this, you are bound to get wonky results like NM and RI, since there's less control over the quality of your data set.

You either get half-a-slice of amazing pizza or an entire pie of mediocre pizza. 
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #17 on: September 24, 2020, 11:36:46 AM »

IOWA
Trump 51% (+5)
Biden 46%
.
TEXAS
Trump 50% (+3)
Biden 47%
.
NEVADA
Trump 49% (+2)
Biden 47%
.
ARIZONA
Trump 49%
Biden 49%
.
NEW MEXICO
Biden 50% (+2)
Trump 48%

Lol, Trump 350 EC

I was too busy looking at states like SC (tied), RI (Biden +7), etc. etc. to notice New Mexico. 

What a crazy poll-set. 

Yeah, to start, SurveyMonkey doesn't have a track record that's all that great. On top of that, when you conduct dozens of polls at a time like this, you are bound to get wonky results like NM and RI, since there's less control over the quality of your data set.

You either get half-a-slice of amazing pizza or an entire pie of mediocre pizza. 

Amazingly, a lot like real life. <Insert some corny quote about math being the language of the universe here> Smile
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The Daily Beagle
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« Reply #18 on: September 24, 2020, 11:40:52 AM »

Still, if this was all true, Trump is done. I donít think I believe it though.
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Frank
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« Reply #19 on: September 24, 2020, 11:45:30 AM »

IOWA
Trump 51% (+5)
Biden 46%
.
TEXAS
Trump 50% (+3)
Biden 47%
.
NEVADA
Trump 49% (+2)
Biden 47%
.
ARIZONA
Trump 49%
Biden 49%
.
NEW MEXICO
Biden 50% (+2)
Trump 48%

Lol, Trump 350 EC

I was too busy looking at states like SC (tied), RI (Biden +7), etc. etc. to notice New Mexico.  What would the map even look like if all of these states verified as in this data-set?


There are other polls that show a very close race in South Carolina.  I don't recall if there have been any other polls for Rhode Island.

Survey Monkey isn't the best, but most of their numbers either don't seem to be that out of line with other polling firm numbers or they're fairly consistent with the 2016/2018 results.

So, at least they've given us numbers from states that haven't been polled otherwise and they likely aren't too far out of line.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #20 on: September 24, 2020, 12:04:50 PM »

No to Michigan and PA (within reason, anyway), maybe for WI.  I'd be more surprised if Trump wins Wisconsin at this stage than if Biden wins it by 5+ points, though.  

Based on what???
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #21 on: September 24, 2020, 12:07:28 PM »

No to Michigan and PA (within reason, anyway), maybe for WI.  I'd be more surprised if Trump wins Wisconsin at this stage than if Biden wins it by 5+ points, though.  

Based on what???

I said a lot of potentially dumb things, Alben.  You're going to have to be more specific. 
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #22 on: September 24, 2020, 12:09:16 PM »

New Poll: Kansas President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 45%, R: 54%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #23 on: September 24, 2020, 12:11:25 PM »

New Poll: Kentucky President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 42%, R: 55%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #24 on: September 24, 2020, 12:13:26 PM »

New Poll: Louisiana President by SurveyMonkey/Axios on 2020-09-21

Summary: D: 40%, R: 58%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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