NYT/Siena-GA/IA/TX: Tied, Biden +3, Trump +3

[tagimaucia]

The profile of undecideds in these recent Georgia polls don't look great for Trump.

Haven't gotten a chance to look more closely at Monmouth yet, but in the AJC poll, the undecideds were majority black, majority self-described moderate, and majority poor.

In this one, they are about half black (and nearly all non-white), majority independent, and majority in the ATL metro.

I think the Trump campaign needs to hope that most of these end up being non-voters and that its more of a "normal" turnout presidential year than a really high one.

[tagimaucia]

Looks like they didn't push undecideds, so we're likely looking at the baseline amount of support for each candidate, especially in the Senate races.

Really highlights the severity of the problems for Trump and Ernst in Iowa, Perdue in Georgia, and Cornyn in Texas.

Do you think Hegar's chances are being underrated by a lot?  I can't help but notice that for how different the margins currently look, Cornyn's actual vote share in polls is 3 less than Trump on average on RCP which is *exactly* the same as Ernst's (to name one example) deficit compared to Trump in Iowa.