NYT/Siena-GA/IA/TX: Tied, Biden +3, Trump +3

[Landslide Lyndon]

Texas:
Austin/San Antonio/South: Biden 50-38 (+12)
Dallas-Fort Worth: Biden 47-34 (+13)
Houston: Biden 51-36 (+15)
Minor: Trump 58-34 (+24)
Rural: Trump 71-25 (+46)

So the only reason Trump leads in Texas is because there are many more undecideds in the big Metros.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Looks like they didn't push undecideds, so we're likely looking at the baseline amount of support for each candidate, especially in the Senate races.

Really highlights the severity of the problems for Trump and Ernst in Iowa, Perdue in Georgia, and Cornyn in Texas.

Do you think Hegar's chances are being underrated by a lot?  I can't help but notice that for how different the margins currently look, Cornyn's actual vote share in polls is 3 less than Trump on average on RCP which is *exactly* the same as Ernst's (to name one example) deficit compared to Trump in Iowa.  

If Hegar had Beto-like money then this would be a top-tier race. She has fundraised respectably but Texas is a money pit.