When can we finally put the rest the "don't overreact to one poll" bromide with respect to Florida?
I think it’s pretty safe to say Florida will be close. Pretty much always is, isn’t it? I could see a situation in which Biden won it by more than usual due to his gains with seniors, but maybe not.
Still expect Biden to win AZ by a few points though.
Florida is always close when the national vote is close.
But the national vote isn't close right now. Florida should not be a toss-up when Biden is winning the country by ~8 points.
People need to start acknowledging that Biden's messaging specifically to Florida, and especially Florida Latinos, has been pretty bad.
How is it any worse than Trump? Trump continues to downplay the threat of COVID, repeatedly insults Puerto Rico, and has separated Latin American children from their parents in a measure so draconian it will be right up there with the internment of Japanese Americans during World War II as a modern day egregious violation of human rights.
