When can we finally put the rest the "don't overreact to one poll" bromide with respect to Florida?
I think it’s pretty safe to say Florida will be close. Pretty much always is, isn’t it? I could see a situation in which Biden won it by more than usual due to his gains with seniors, but maybe not.
Still expect Biden to win AZ by a few points though.
Florida is always close when the national vote is close.
But the national vote isn't close right now. Florida should not be a toss-up when Biden is winning the country by ~8 points.
People need to start acknowledging that Biden's messaging specifically to Florida, and especially Florida Latinos, has been pretty bad.
Florida is always close, period.
See 2018
