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October 21, 2020, 02:52:01 AM
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  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  CBS/YouGov (TX): Cornyn up 46-41
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Author Topic: CBS/YouGov (TX): Cornyn up 46-41  (Read 435 times)
OneJ
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« on: September 20, 2020, 09:43:57 AM »

John Cornyn - 46%
M.J. Hegar - 41%
Someone else - 3%
Not sure - 10%

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ZsMPYa9d2L2vg4YYk-DFcwlXosTMmMYP/view

*Look on page 28 of PDF for crosstabs
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2020, 09:45:50 AM »

September 15-18
1140 likely voters
MoE for likely voters: 3.5%
Changes with July 7-10

Cornyn 46% (+2)
Hegar 41% (+5)
Someone else 3% (-1)
Not sure 10% (-5)

Would not vote previously at 1%
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President Johnson
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« Reply #2 on: September 20, 2020, 09:49:43 AM »

Kinda weak Cornyn hardly gets over 50% in any poll. He's still favored though. A strong Lean Republican.
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Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same
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« Reply #3 on: September 20, 2020, 10:29:50 AM »

Cornyn actually underperforming Trumpís vote share slightly. Pure tossup.
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Arlington County Moderate 4 Trump (Against Bernie)
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« Reply #4 on: September 20, 2020, 10:31:54 AM »

NUT? Sad

Cornyn is a despicable Trump/McConnell puppet whoís sold out to big pharma and the insurance industry and a shameless Washington hypocrite whoís going to turn the judiciary into a right-wing dictatorship, but Iíd be lying if I said his county maps donít arouse me or that MJ Hegar's tattoos arenít a complete joke, so Iíll consider him (one of those undecideds [whoís strongly leaning toward Cornyn tho]). 46% + the 3% coming home + the 10% breaking for Cornyn + no Beto effect = NUT.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #5 on: September 20, 2020, 10:35:52 AM »

Kinda weak Cornyn hardly gets over 50% in any poll. He's still favored though. A strong Lean Republican.

IIRC, Cornyn hasn't broken 50% at any poll, certainly not after the primary.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: September 20, 2020, 11:44:46 AM »

If Hegar can consolidate a lot of the major undecideds, which lean D here, she could make this a real race.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #7 on: September 20, 2020, 12:20:36 PM »

Would have 100% been winnable if Beto or Castro had run. Damn.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #8 on: September 20, 2020, 02:06:08 PM »

One of the most interesting questions in this poll almost 50% of voters think Joe Biden is too liberal and almost 50% of voters think Trump is about as conservative as they would like. In fact, 70% of texas voters believe Trump is either conservative enough or not conservative enough. Only 30% believe he is too conservative.

Results like this make me really think a lot of the anti-Trump vitriol in the suburbs and in places like texas is an identity politics thing. I question whether that will last forever, especially once Trump is gone.

If the GOP nominates a Nikki Haley type figure... poll results like this make me think a lot of these subrubanites, who still appear to hold conservative values, will vote for the GOP again.
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Devils30
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« Reply #9 on: September 20, 2020, 02:10:26 PM »

One of the most interesting questions in this poll almost 50% of voters think Joe Biden is too liberal and almost 50% of voters think Trump is about as conservative as they would like. In fact, 70% of texas voters believe Trump is either conservative enough or not conservative enough. Only 30% believe he is too conservative.

Results like this make me really think a lot of the anti-Trump vitriol in the suburbs and in places like texas is an identity politics thing. I question whether that will last forever, especially once Trump is gone.

If the GOP nominates a Nikki Haley type figure... poll results like this make me think a lot of these subrubanites, who still appear to hold conservative values, will vote for the GOP again.

Possibly, but does this in turn make places like Iowa competitive again?
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #10 on: September 20, 2020, 02:13:19 PM »

One of the most interesting questions in this poll almost 50% of voters think Joe Biden is too liberal and almost 50% of voters think Trump is about as conservative as they would like. In fact, 70% of texas voters believe Trump is either conservative enough or not conservative enough. Only 30% believe he is too conservative.

Results like this make me really think a lot of the anti-Trump vitriol in the suburbs and in places like texas is an identity politics thing. I question whether that will last forever, especially once Trump is gone.

If the GOP nominates a Nikki Haley type figure... poll results like this make me think a lot of these subrubanites, who still appear to hold conservative values, will vote for the GOP again.

This is what makes me think that the Texas GOP will hold up better downballot than people on here are expecting. Sure, they'll probably lose TX-23, and at least one of TX-22 and TX-24, but I doubt Democrats will take the state House or pick up more than 3-4 congressional seats. These people may not like Trump, but will still happily vote for their GOP State Rep.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: September 20, 2020, 02:33:38 PM »

One of the most interesting questions in this poll almost 50% of voters think Joe Biden is too liberal and almost 50% of voters think Trump is about as conservative as they would like. In fact, 70% of texas voters believe Trump is either conservative enough or not conservative enough. Only 30% believe he is too conservative.

Results like this make me really think a lot of the anti-Trump vitriol in the suburbs and in places like texas is an identity politics thing. I question whether that will last forever, especially once Trump is gone.

If the GOP nominates a Nikki Haley type figure... poll results like this make me think a lot of these subrubanites, who still appear to hold conservative values, will vote for the GOP again.

Nikki Haley is a Trumper now.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #12 on: September 20, 2020, 11:57:57 PM »

The suburban voters voted for a guy who wanted to abolish ICE, so no, I don't think they'll have a problem with the candidates running now. The burbstomping will continue.
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President Pericles
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« Reply #13 on: September 21, 2020, 12:04:54 AM »

This is a competitive race.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #14 on: September 21, 2020, 12:06:04 AM »


She will lose
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Harvey Lee Updyke III🌹
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« Reply #15 on: September 21, 2020, 09:16:24 AM »

New Poll: Texas Senator by YouGov on 2020-09-18

Summary: D: 41%, R: 46%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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