Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
Posts: 19,301
Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74
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« on: September 20, 2020, 01:44:35 PM » |
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I don’t get how people are saying good for Daines? He’s tied in this poll, as mentioned. And if Trump is only up by 7, we wouldn’t expect Bullock to be outperforming Biden by 20 points or something; that could only happen if Biden was down big. There’s a ceiling, even for an “elastic” state. As it is, outrunning him by high single digits is good because that looks to be about as much as Trump will win by.
And yeah, Montana is not a very socially conservative state (outside of guns I guess). Not super religious. It’s not a state where the Supreme Court will get a bunch of evangelicals to turn out and vote Republican. There’s a reason Tester held on even after voting against Kavanaugh while McCaskill and Donnelly did not.
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