The simple truth is, a Democrat at 45% in Iowa just won’t win the election. This isn’t a bad poll for Greenfield, but it’s *not* enough. Also, the Republican incumbent’s standing doesn’t matter that much. Two years ago, people seized on Reynolds being at 41%. It didn’t end up mattering.
Reynolds at 41% isn't so well
An incumbent down 2 and at 41% overall? Not hard to read the writing on the wall here.
The incumbent governor at 41% is hardly encouraging for Iowa Republicans.
Ernst is only at 42% which is not at all good for an incumbent. This poll is terrible for Ernst.
At least she’s doing a point better 
I agree. people are falling for the same Lucy with the football that is Iowa polling again
