|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 21, 2020, 02:46:18 AM
News:

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  MI (EPIC-MRA): Peters +4
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: MI (EPIC-MRA): Peters +4  (Read 337 times)
Electoral Titan Kim Reynolds
VARepublican
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,452


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 18, 2020, 05:20:11 AM »
« edited: September 18, 2020, 05:26:52 AM by VARepublican »

Sep 10-15, 600 LV, MoE: 4%

Peters 45% (-5)
James 41% (+1)

Peters approval: 45/44 (+1, was 35/35)
Peters fav: 48/33 (+15, was 36/22)
James fav: 43/38 (+5, was 29/27)

https://www.woodtv.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/51/2020/09/September-Statewide-EPIC-MRA-poll-091820.pdf
Logged
wbrocks67
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,397
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 18, 2020, 05:24:36 AM »

So we added 4% more undecideds than last time? Weird
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,546


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 18, 2020, 07:23:34 AM »
« Edited: September 18, 2020, 07:30:26 AM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

Changes with July 25-30 poll

Third party candidate 5% (was not in previous poll - if this works like the "someone else" option, it's more likely than not to obscure the frontrunner's lead)
Undecided/refused 9% (-1)
Logged
SnowLabrador
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,078
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 18, 2020, 08:24:29 AM »

Lean D -> Tossup/Tilt D.
Logged
wbrocks67
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,397
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2020, 08:27:03 AM »

It appears that the last poll did not have "third party candidate" option, which looks like it attributed to 4% going from decided to 3rd party/undecided
Logged
LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,006


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 18, 2020, 10:15:15 AM »

The last 6 polls have Peters +4, Peters +4, Peters +4, Peters +8, Peters +3, Peters +1.

This race deserves way more attention, with James now doing better than Trump in most surveys.
Logged
LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,006


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 18, 2020, 11:58:15 AM »

The last 6 polls have Peters +4, Peters +4, Peters +4, Peters +8, Peters +3, Peters +1.

This race deserves way more attention, with James now doing better than Trump in most surveys.

Yep.

Logged
Arlington County Moderate 4 Trump (Against Bernie)
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,159
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 18, 2020, 01:44:52 PM »

This would be (at worst) a Tossup if it wasn’t for the unbelievable incompetence of the NRSC (prioritizing AZ and CO over MI is precisely the kind of malpractice which hurt them in MT/WV/OH in 2018 and probably cost them one or two of those seats) and the national environment dragging James down. Is James some amazing electoral titan? Certainly not, but he’s nowhere near the disaster of a candidate some people on this forum have been suggesting, and Peters' strengths might have been a tad overrated (the idea that he was going to significantly outperform Biden was always ridiculous).
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2020, 02:52:08 PM »

B-b-b-but I thought this race was Likely/Safe D and those of us suggesting Democrats couldn't take this race for granted were delusional/didn't understand how strong/awesome of an incumbent Peters is!!!!

If the current environment doesn't improve for Republicans, Peters does probably win, but Democrats absolutely shouldn't take this race for granted.
Logged
ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,555
United States


P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 18, 2020, 03:49:23 PM »

New Poll: Michigan Senator by EPIC/MRA on 2020-09-15

Summary: D: 45%, R: 41%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Splash
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 290
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 19, 2020, 06:07:55 PM »

EPIC-MRA has always been prone to large swings. I would wait for confirmation before concluding that this race is slipping away from Peters.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.036 seconds with 13 queries.