Last governor election where the democrat won whites? (user search)
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  Last governor election where the democrat won whites? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Last governor election where the democrat won whites?  (Read 2506 times)
Calthrina950
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« on: September 17, 2020, 06:56:08 PM »

Colorado was certainly 2018, as exit polls indicated that Jared Polis won the white vote by 2% while winning by 11% overall. In the 21st century in Colorado, the white vote was carried by Bill Ritter in 2006, who won by 17%, and by John Hickenlooper in 2010, who won by 14%. Hickenlooper, however, almost certainly lost whites to Bob Beauprez in 2014, when he won reelection by 4%. That one is ironic, given how Ritter blew Beauprez out of the water just eight years previously.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2020, 08:30:37 AM »

New Mexico definitely would have been Bill Richardson in 2006. Richardson won all but one of New Mexico's counties (Catron County) and received 69% of the overall vote. New Mexico whites (judging from Reagente's tables), tend to vote about 10-13% to the right of the state, so Richardson probably got in the mid to upper 50s among white voters. California in 2018 is a close call; my hunch is that the white vote went to Newsom by a narrow margin. Hillary Clinton got 61% in California (and received a lower percentage of the overall vote than Newsom), and she won the white vote by 5% according to exit polls.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #2 on: December 31, 2020, 10:32:48 PM »

New Mexico definitely would have been Bill Richardson in 2006. Richardson won all but one of New Mexico's counties (Catron County) and received 69% of the overall vote. New Mexico whites (judging from Reagente's tables), tend to vote about 10-13% to the right of the state, so Richardson probably got in the mid to upper 50s among white voters. California in 2018 is a close call; my hunch is that the white vote went to Newsom by a narrow margin. Hillary Clinton got 61% in California (and received a lower percentage of the overall vote than Newsom), and she won the white vote by 5% according to exit polls.

A bit off topic, but Susana Martinez—a Latina—won the Anglo vote twice, and won overall despite losing the Latino vote.  It might have been a similar situation with Brian Sandoval in Nevada the first time.

VA has to be 2001 or 2005

Warner's 2001 campaign was all about winning southwest Virginia, or winning the NASCAR Dads....who are now the only bloc of support for VAGOP....they are more like the TNGOP/NCGOP than anything else

You’re wrong.  A Democrat does not win Virginia whites while winning the state by only 5 or 6 points.  You forgot about those suburban whites Warner got crushed among.

I wouldn't be surprised if that were the case with Sandoval. But Martinez obviously got a much larger share of the Hispanic vote than a Generic Republican, probably well over 40% in both of her elections.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #3 on: December 31, 2020, 10:39:17 PM »

Anyone have detailed data on Missouri 2012? I find it hard to believe Nixon didn't at least come close to winning whites with all those rural counties.

I would assume Nixon came close as well, although I don't have the detailed data which you seek. He definitely won the white vote in 2008, however, when he beat Kenny Hulshof by 19%.
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