AZ-Monmouth: Kelly +4
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October 20, 2021, 06:00:59 AM

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  AZ-Monmouth: Kelly +4
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Author Topic: AZ-Monmouth: Kelly +4  (Read 258 times)
VAR
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« on: September 17, 2020, 10:08:48 AM »

Kelly (D) 50%
McSally (R-inc.) 46%

RV: Kelly 50-44 (no change, last poll was in March)
Low turnout: Kelly 49-48

McSally fav: 40/42 (-2, was 35/39)
Kelly fav: 48/29 (+19, was 41/17)
Sinema fav: 38/21 (+17)

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_091720.pdf/
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2020, 10:41:23 AM »

September 11-15
420 registered/likely voters
MoE: 4.8%

Registered voters:
Changes with March 11-14 poll

No one 1% (n/c)
Other 0% (but some voters) (-1)
Undecided 4% (n/c)


With turnout modelled as higher than 2016's (likely voters):

Kelly 50%
McSally 46%
Other 0% (but some voters)
Undecided 4%

With turnout modelled as lower than 2016's (likely voters):

Kelly 49%
McSally 48%
Other 0% (but some voters)
Undecided 4%
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #2 on: September 18, 2020, 03:59:38 PM »

New Poll: Arizona Senator (Special) by Monmouth University on 2020-09-15

Summary: D: 50%, R: 44%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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