Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
Posts: 19,302
Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74
|
 |
« on: September 16, 2020, 05:07:54 PM » |
|
|
« edited: September 16, 2020, 05:13:01 PM by Alben Barkley »
|
Nixon, Reagan, or Goldwater would have won the South.
George Romney or Nelson Rockefeller would not have.
So it really all depends on the Republican candidate. Since you said both are pro-Civil Rights, I'm assuming one of the latter. Or maybe Nixon but no Southern Strategy/dogwhistling. In that case, I think the South probably just sticks with the Democrat. Maybe even votes for unpledged Dixiecrat electors if there's no Wallace actually running. It could be kind of like 1960 in fact: Most vote for the Democrat, but AL/MS in particular are likely to split their electors.
I find it a bit easier to see the South voting for LBJ or even RFK than Humphrey, however. He really didn't have much appeal in the South, and mostly won Texas just on the strength of being LBJ's VP. That said, even he probably would have won against Romney or Rockefeller. Combination of blacks exercising their newly won voting rights and lingering Democratic partisanship would keep him on top.
|
