redjohn
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,685
Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17
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« on: September 16, 2020, 09:40:50 AM » |
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AZ is not gone for Trump. The Senate race was D+2 in a D+9 national environment, but the state is trending left and I think Biden can win it with a popular vote victory of 4-5 points. Obviously, there's a chance Trump's base turns out in huge numbers (they will) and Democratic turnout just barely falls short. But if Trump wins AZ, it'll be a very close win. Biden, meanwhile, could win comfortably.
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