51 days left, 51 EV prizes, A Bagel Analysis (user search)
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  51 days left, 51 EV prizes, A Bagel Analysis (search mode)
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Author Topic: 51 days left, 51 EV prizes, A Bagel Analysis  (Read 12451 times)
woodley park
Jr. Member
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Posts: 788


« on: September 18, 2020, 05:24:13 PM »

I'm gonna do this thread; 51 days left, 51 EV prizes. I'm gonna map and analyze one a day until the election, first one is Alabama. I think it will be fairly stagnant, with a slight boost for Biden because of the senate race. Expect Biden to make modest gains in the educated counties like Shelby, Lee, Jefferson, Montgomery, Tuscaloosa, Madison, Mobile, etc. The black belt should be fairly stagnant due to population loss, and Trump will continue posting gains in the rurals, esp in AL 4th. Biden's overall slight improvement can be seen because the places he will be making modest improvements are growing (comparatively) to the places Trump will be gaining in.



As someone very unfamiliar with the political geography of the South, where are black voters in central Alabama largely headed to?
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woodley park
Jr. Member
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Posts: 788


« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2020, 06:08:44 PM »

Bagel, it feels like a lot has changed since you started doing these -- such as the gray revolt against Trump. Has anything changed your calculus on states you've called already, or are you sticking to what you have here?
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