Rate Delaware Senate Primary

[LeBron]

Titanium Coons. He probably wins 75-25 or so.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

haha

[TDAS04]

Safe D.

[Left Wing]

damn it

[Stuart98]

Well that's to the surprise of literally no one.

[The Mikado]

Thread should've been for the GOP Delaware Senate Primary.

https://twitter.com/willsommer/status/1306055033725870080?s=20

[The Arizonan]

Well, none of the Senate incumbents got primaried.

I expected at least one of them to lose their primary like Ed Markey.

[brucejoel99]

Likely Coons, just shy of safe because of the lack of coverage/polling. Coons may be the luckiest man in politics, but once he got that luck he did what he needed and will likely hold the seat as long as he wants.

Mike Castle would have lost in 2016, like other blue state Republicans....Kirk, etc.

Castle was a state institution and if he ran for re-election, he likely would have won any year. Especially as he would have voted more like a centrist Dem. GOP did a massive own-goal.

I'm getting a lot of Susan Collins-vibes from this description, & look how well that's turned out for her.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Delaware is definitely the last of the blue states that will start electing Bernie/Warren-type progressives. It's the credit card capital of the country.

Likely Coons, just shy of safe because of the lack of coverage/polling. Coons may be the luckiest man in politics, but once he got that luck he did what he needed and will likely hold the seat as long as he wants.

Mike Castle would have lost in 2016, like other blue state Republicans....Kirk, etc.

Castle was a state institution and if he ran for re-election, he likely would have won any year. Especially as he would have voted more like a centrist Dem. GOP did a massive own-goal.

I'm getting a lot of Susan Collins-vibes from this description, & look how well that's turned out for her.

Delaware is also a much blacker, more urban state than Maine. (Although since it's Maine that's not saying much.) In 2016 Castle probably loses by 5-8 or so, assuming he doesn't get knocked out in a primary by someone like Coons is facing now.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Likely Coons, just shy of safe because of the lack of coverage/polling. Coons may be the luckiest man in politics, but once he got that luck he did what he needed and will likely hold the seat as long as he wants.

Mike Castle would have lost in 2016, like other blue state Republicans....Kirk, etc.

Castle was a state institution and if he ran for re-election, he likely would have won any year. Especially as he would have voted more like a centrist Dem. GOP did a massive own-goal.

I'm getting a lot of Susan Collins-vibes from this description, & look how well that's turned out for her.

Collins has meaningfully pivoted precisely to avoid his fate in the 2010 primary and that is almost certainly part of why she's lost crossover support. It's not a given that he also would have done this.