Rate Delaware Senate Primary
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Pages: [1] 2
Poll
Question: How would you rate it?
#1
Safe Coons
 
#2
Likely Coons
 
#3
Lean Coons
 
#4
Tilt Coons
 
#5
Tossup
 
#6
Tilt Scarane
 
#7
Lean Scarane
 
#8
Likely Scarane
 
#9
Safe Scarane
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 65

Author Topic: Rate Delaware Senate Primary  (Read 1194 times)
Left Wing
FalterinArc
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« on: September 12, 2020, 07:31:46 PM »

I rate it as Likely Coons. Scarane's fundraising hasn't been very good and Coons got a boost from the convention. Unfortunately I think he will beat her pretty badly. The only reason I don't have this as safe is the Data for Progress polling from December. It sucks. Coons needs to go.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1 on: September 12, 2020, 07:36:02 PM »

At this time, safe Coons. Scarane entered late in the credit card state without much support and has failed to even boost her name ID to sub-Andrew Romanoff levels so can't hope to match the score seen for the 'generic progressive D'. There's no time left to turn that campaign around.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #2 on: September 12, 2020, 07:43:56 PM »

Safe Coons. Delaware is a blue state, but its politics are fairly moderate. It is not full of crazies like NYC is. Plus Coons is taking the threat seriously. I think he'll get at least 65%.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #3 on: September 12, 2020, 07:45:54 PM »

Safe Coons. Delaware is a blue state, but its politics are fairly moderate. It is not full of crazies like NYC is. Plus Coons is taking the threat seriously. I think he'll get at least 65%.

I think crazy is an understatement, I'm insane.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #4 on: September 12, 2020, 07:54:46 PM »

Safe Coons. Delaware is a blue state, but its politics are fairly moderate. It is not full of crazies like NYC is. Plus Coons is taking the threat seriously. I think he'll get at least 65%.

I wasn't even aware that Coons was facing a primary challenge until seeing the writeup for this primary on RRH Elections yesterday. And interestingly enough, both Coons and the state's incumbent Governor, John Carney, are described as "establishment liberals" with "mild moderate tendencies", which may or may not be a fair description. Coons himself has always been an inoffensive Democrat who votes with the party, but who tries to seek consensus and works well with his colleagues. I recall that he tried to persuade Jeff Flake-whom he was apparently good friends with-to vote against Kavanaugh in 2018, an effort which obviously failed. 
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #5 on: September 12, 2020, 08:04:31 PM »

Safe Coons, sadly. He'll be a major impediment to getting rid of the filibuster come 2021.
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Left Wing
FalterinArc
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« Reply #6 on: September 12, 2020, 08:05:21 PM »
« Edited: September 12, 2020, 08:14:17 PM by Rep. FalterinArc »

Safe Coons. Delaware is a blue state, but its politics are fairly moderate. It is not full of crazies like NYC is. Plus Coons is taking the threat seriously. I think he'll get at least 65%.

I wasn't even aware that Coons was facing a primary challenge until seeing the writeup for this primary on RRH Elections yesterday. And interestingly enough, both Coons and the state's incumbent Governor, John Carney, are described as "establishment liberals" with "mild moderate tendencies", which may or may not be a fair description. Coons himself has always been an inoffensive Democrat who votes with the party, but who tries to seek consensus and works well with his colleagues. I recall that he tried to persuade Jeff Flake-whom he was apparently good friends with-to vote against Kavanaugh in 2018, an effort which obviously failed.  
He also said something along the lines of "women are more emotional". I can't find the exact quote but it was something along those lines. He also voted yes on some judges who wouldn't commit to standing behind brown v. board of education and took tons of money from the Fraternal Order of Police.
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WD
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« Reply #7 on: September 12, 2020, 08:05:55 PM »

Safe Coons. Delaware is a blue state, but its politics are fairly moderate. It is not full of crazies like NYC is. Plus Coons is taking the threat seriously. I think he'll get at least 65%.

I think crazy is an understatement, I'm insane.

Yikes. You East Coasters are wild.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #8 on: September 12, 2020, 08:45:58 PM »

Safe Coons, sadly. He'll be a major impediment to getting rid of the filibuster come 2021.

He literally said he'd vote to end it if keeping it means Biden can't get his legislative agenda passed, so why are you spewing blatant misinformation?
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #9 on: September 12, 2020, 08:50:05 PM »

Safe Coons, sadly. He'll be a major impediment to getting rid of the filibuster come 2021.

He literally said he'd vote to end it if keeping it means Biden can't get his legislative agenda passed, so why are you spewing blatant misinformation?

And isn't Coons a close confidante of Biden's? So I'm sure they've discussed the issue behind closed doors.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #10 on: September 12, 2020, 08:53:50 PM »

You people are out of touch asf, that’s why Coons will win.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #11 on: September 12, 2020, 09:21:26 PM »

I feel like Coons won't be a bottleneck in a Biden presidency. Leave that to Sinema and Manchin!
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andjey
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« Reply #12 on: September 13, 2020, 02:13:23 AM »

Safe Coons. He will win by a very big margin. He is a great Senator.
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VAR
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« Reply #13 on: September 13, 2020, 11:43:12 AM »

Safe Coons.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #14 on: September 13, 2020, 12:39:21 PM »

Safe Coons. Delaware is a poor state for progressive insurgents.
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Canis
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« Reply #15 on: September 13, 2020, 12:48:23 PM »

Likely Coons very close to safe we've had quite a few upsets this year and we haven't had a poll of this race since December but Coons is definitely favored
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chickentitilater
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« Reply #16 on: September 15, 2020, 02:42:41 PM »

Gonna stand out here and vote lean scarane, mostly because someone has to.

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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #17 on: September 15, 2020, 03:08:48 PM »

Likely Coons.

If Scarane had gotten resources and support form organized progressive groups she might have been able to pull off the upset, but she didn't.

Chris Coons 67%
Jessica Scarane 33%
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Never Made it to Graceland
Crane
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« Reply #18 on: September 15, 2020, 03:59:13 PM »

Safe Coons. Delaware is a poor state for progressive insurgents.

Most slave states aren't
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #19 on: September 15, 2020, 04:27:26 PM »

Likely Coons, just shy of safe because of the lack of coverage/polling. Coons may be the luckiest man in politics, but once he got that luck he did what he needed and will likely hold the seat as long as he wants.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #20 on: September 15, 2020, 06:07:41 PM »

I think Chris Coons wins his primary 69-31 today
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bronz4141
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« Reply #21 on: September 15, 2020, 06:13:56 PM »

Safe Coons

Coons may not even be a Senator in 2021, Biden may give him a Cabinet position

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bronz4141
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« Reply #22 on: September 15, 2020, 06:14:40 PM »

Likely Coons, just shy of safe because of the lack of coverage/polling. Coons may be the luckiest man in politics, but once he got that luck he did what he needed and will likely hold the seat as long as he wants.

Mike Castle would have lost in 2016, like other blue state Republicans....Kirk, etc.
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Left Wing
FalterinArc
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« Reply #23 on: September 15, 2020, 06:17:52 PM »

Likely Coons, just shy of safe because of the lack of coverage/polling. Coons may be the luckiest man in politics, but once he got that luck he did what he needed and will likely hold the seat as long as he wants.

Mike Castle would have lost in 2016, like other blue state Republicans....Kirk, etc.
Mike Castle wouldn't have been up for re-election in 2016.
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #24 on: September 15, 2020, 06:57:43 PM »

Likely Coons, just shy of safe because of the lack of coverage/polling. Coons may be the luckiest man in politics, but once he got that luck he did what he needed and will likely hold the seat as long as he wants.

Mike Castle would have lost in 2016, like other blue state Republicans....Kirk, etc.

Castle was a state institution and if he ran for re-election, he likely would have won any year. Especially as he would have voted more like a centrist Dem. GOP did a massive own-goal.
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