NYTimes/Siena - Biden+9 in MN, +3 in NH, +4 in NV, +5 in WI
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  NYTimes/Siena - Biden+9 in MN, +3 in NH, +4 in NV, +5 in WI		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: NYTimes/Siena - Biden+9 in MN, +3 in NH, +4 in NV, +5 in WI  (Read 4388 times)
wbrocks67
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« Reply #75 on: September 12, 2020, 08:07:19 PM »
Nate Cohn added that they had a terrible voter file in NH, so could be a bad sample. Plus pretty low sample size (in NV too)
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #76 on: September 12, 2020, 08:39:16 PM »
Trump has to make WI competetive, but he hasn't in order to win 270 to 268 and ME 2 and NEB 2 look like they are going D; consequently, Biden will be elected Prez, by securing WI
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Sbane
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« Reply #77 on: September 12, 2020, 10:38:28 PM »
The MN and WI numbers are consistent with Biden up by 9-10. Nevada is just hard to poll and NH bears watching, but it is a fairly well educated state. Maybe the sample in NH is just wacky.
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redjohn
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« Reply #78 on: September 12, 2020, 11:28:22 PM »
Evers won by 1 point in WI in a D+9 national environment. Biden+5 in WI would be amazing.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #79 on: September 13, 2020, 12:54:16 AM »
Lots of folks are worried about that the Reid machine won't be able to work this year. Luckily the state implemented VMB and are allowing for ballot collection (aka the Culinary Union can go door to door and pick up ballots from their members). Not worried in the slightest.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #80 on: September 13, 2020, 01:42:30 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on September 13, 2020, 12:54:16 AM
Lots of folks are worried about that the Reid machine won't be able to work this year. Luckily the state implemented VMB and are allowing for ballot collection (aka the Culinary Union can go door to door and pick up ballots from their members). Not worried in the slightest.

YOU MEAN BALLOT HARVESTING!!!!!!!!! OMFG!!!! ISN'T THAT LIKE ORGAN HARVESTING?!!!?!?!??!?
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cvparty
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« Reply #81 on: September 13, 2020, 02:08:05 AM »
Quote from: redjohn on September 12, 2020, 11:28:22 PM
Evers won by 1 point in WI in a D+9 national environment. Biden+5 in WI would be amazing.
the favorability gap is also better compared to the gubernatorial race since biden’s at +6 and trump at -8 (although some of the crosstabs are wonky...ex. trump apparently having a net positive approval and biden being underwater in the city of milwaukee)
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #82 on: September 13, 2020, 04:12:41 AM »
WI isn't going R, so the Rs need to stop thinking its gonna be a 269 tie
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #83 on: September 13, 2020, 08:00:21 AM »
« Edited: September 13, 2020, 08:06:56 AM by ElectionAtlas »
New Poll: Minnesota President by Siena Research Institute on 2020-08-10

Summary: D: 50%, R: 41%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #84 on: September 13, 2020, 08:01:22 AM »
« Edited: September 13, 2020, 08:07:00 AM by ElectionAtlas »
New Poll: Nevada President by Siena Research Institute on 2020-08-10

Summary: D: 46%, R: 42%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #85 on: September 13, 2020, 08:02:39 AM »
« Edited: September 13, 2020, 08:07:03 AM by ElectionAtlas »
New Poll: New Hampshire President by Siena Research Institute on 2020-08-10

Summary: D: 45%, R: 42%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #86 on: September 13, 2020, 08:03:23 AM »
« Edited: September 13, 2020, 08:07:10 AM by ElectionAtlas »
New Poll: Wisconsin President by Siena Research Institute on 2020-08-10

Summary: D: 48%, R: 43%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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