MI Rasmussen - Biden +8

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Dk if this has been posted but

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/michigan_biden_51_trump_43

Biden 51
Trump 43

Sep 2-3, released today

[Dr. Arch]

I can see why Trump triaged the state.

[NOVA Green]

Labor Day Weekend Poll.... throw it in the trash...

j/k

[forza nocta]

Thank you Rasmussen, very cool!

[kph14]

Labor Day Weekend Poll.... throw it in the trash...

j/k

All the beautiful boaters were of course out on their boats

[tagimaucia]

What is exactly is Rasmussen’s play/angle here? They’ve clearly decided that for some reason they all of a sudden want to put out a bunch of state polls that are waaaaay to the left of their normal fare, but why?

[emailking]

Is this one of the real polls? Trump said he's winning in the real polls.

[Rand]

OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!

[Progressive Pessimist]

Is this one of the real polls? Trump said he's winning in the real polls.

"Rasmussen is going the way of Fox News! Sad!"

[Astatine]

What is exactly is Rasmussen’s play/angle here? They’ve clearly decided that for some reason they all of a sudden want to put out a bunch of state polls that are waaaaay to the left of their normal fare, but why?

Maybe to release polls in late October in which Trump is gaining ground somehow to push the #DemsInDisarray narrative? Could not really see many other reasons.

[It’s so Joever]

If true, Biden is also winning WI by a similar margin.

[Sir Mohamed]

If Trump can't come closer than 8 pts in a Rasmussen poll and Biden over 50, he's doomed in this battleground state. MI was always the easiest of the Big 3 to flip back, and it might even vote to the left of MN (which it did in '16 per HRC vote share).

[psychprofessor]

If Michigan and Wisconsin are in high single digits leads for Biden, then a national lead of 8-10 is likely.

[Tintrlvr]

What is exactly is Rasmussen’s play/angle here? They’ve clearly decided that for some reason they all of a sudden want to put out a bunch of state polls that are waaaaay to the left of their normal fare, but why?

To put out follow-on polls in mid-October showing a tightening race.

I see someone already beat me to it.

[Gass3268]

Rasmusen's national poll and state polls exist in two different realities.

[Alben Barkley]

Good for John James.

[Alben Barkley]

Rasmusen's national poll and state polls exist in two different realities.

I wouldn’t even mind if they were right, because that would mean Biden has the EC advantage.

[Arkansas Yankee]

Is Michigan deja-vu for Democrats?

https://hotair.com/archives/ed-morrissey/2020/09/16/time-michigan-dems-getting-bad-sense-deja-vu/

They have no ground game for Biden in the state. Supposedly, signs cannot be located. It is not cleaR, if field offices have been opened. Field operations are online. The Biden campaign is relying on the state party’s One Campaign to run its field operations. But that campaign is not doing any canvassing or events.

Time Magazine which is obviously A part of the Biden campaign finds the lack of campaign infrastructure “the biggest reason to take this seasons polls with an even bigger grain of salt than usual” as the “polls are based on likely turnout models that don’t account for CONVID-19 behavior changes”and that “ do not account for the amount of massive campaign activity imbalance in personal contact campaigning” between the parties,  Time declares both of these factors will have a big impact On turnout.”

In short no one has an “ idea of how to build a likely voter model that will produce predictive polling. “

“Team Biden has no way to know where it stands in Michigan or anywhere else.

If Romney had only put his niece in charge of his campaign in 2012.