Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group: Biden +1 in AZ, +7 in MI, +3 in PA, +5 in WI, tie in NC
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 05, 2023, 05:27:30 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group: Biden +1 in AZ, +7 in MI, +3 in PA, +5 in WI, tie in NC
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group: Biden +1 in AZ, +7 in MI, +3 in PA, +5 in WI, tie in NC  (Read 1091 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,766
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 10, 2020, 08:51:33 AM »

AZ
Biden 48%
Trump 47%

MI
Biden 50%
Trump 43%

NC
Biden 48%
Trump 48%

PA
Biden 49%
Trump 46%

WI
Biden 50%
Trump 45%

https://states.aarp.org/

Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,823


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 10, 2020, 08:53:56 AM »

Honestly not bad for being right after the RNC.
Logged
bilaps
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,348
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 10, 2020, 08:59:59 AM »

These polls actually make sense as a group.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,250


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 10, 2020, 09:00:39 AM »
« Edited: September 10, 2020, 09:04:25 AM by GeorgiaModerate »

Both sets of state polls are for the AARP, and the releases also list the results among age 50+ voters.  

(Benenson polls)

AZ: Biden 49-47
FL: Trump 50-47
MI: Biden 54-40
NC: Tie 48-48
PA: Biden 50-46
WI: Biden 50-46

(Fabrizio Ward polls)

CO: Biden 48-46
GA: Biden 47-46
IA: Trump 48-46
ME: Biden 54-41
MT: Trump 48-47
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,823


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 10, 2020, 09:06:02 AM »

What in the world are these polling dates:

August 28 and September 8.

11 days? Are you kidding me?
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,337


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 10, 2020, 09:36:39 AM »

For AARP
August 28-September 8 in each
1600 likely voters in each except Wisconsin
MoE: 2.5% in each except Wisconsin

WI
1200 likely voters
MoE: 2.6%
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,629


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 10, 2020, 09:44:45 AM »

That AZ poll is closer than expected, or maybe Iím just spoiled.
Logged
DaleCooper
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,831


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 10, 2020, 09:50:22 AM »

AZ has been all over the place, it seems. Could be an indication of the notorious difficulties associated with accurately polling hispanic voters?
Logged
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,675
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 10, 2020, 09:52:58 AM »

AZ has been all over the place, it seems. Could be an indication of the notorious difficulties associated with accurately polling hispanic voters?

Which is why I think the returns from Yuma County will be just as vital an indicator as those from Maricopa. 
Logged
Sir Mohamed 🇺🇸 🇺🇦
MohamedChalid
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,818
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 10, 2020, 09:59:41 AM »

How reliable is this pollster? PA is definitely not locked as we speak, though Biden was never going to win it by more than 4-6 pts.
Logged
tagimaucia
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 571


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 10, 2020, 12:52:13 PM »

How reliable is this pollster? PA is definitely not locked as we speak, though Biden was never going to win it by more than 4-6 pts.

Benenson was Obama's in-house pollster in 2008 and 2012 (or one of them?).  They probably don't have many past public polls, but I assume they're pretty good at what they do.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.039 seconds with 12 queries.