TX - PPP/Giffords (D): Trump +1%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://giffords.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/TexasResults1.pdf

September 1-2
743 voters

First set of changes with last Texas poll (of registered voters, August 21-22 for Texas Democrats (D)) and second set of changes with last poll of Texas "voters" (June 18-19, conducted for Progress Texas (D)).

Trump 48% (+1, n/c)
Biden 47% (-1, +1)
Not sure 5%  (n/c, -1)

[WD]

Tossup

[neostassenite31]

Here comes the Texas Democratic party fundraiser

[Skill and Chance]

It's still in the game post-conventions.  I think Biden has to play here if statistical tie polls keep showing up in FL/PA.

[Woody]

Safe R.

[Buzz]

Hopefully the Dems continue to waste money here

[It's Perro Sanxe wot won it]

Polls today are all over the place. Trump barely ahead in Texas, a tie in Florida, a clear Biden lead in Ohio, a small Biden lead in Pennsylvania and small Trump leads in Nevada and Arizona...

[Roronoa D. Law]

Hopefully the Dems continue to waste money here

Biden polling better in TX than Trump is in MN.

[Buzz]

Hopefully the Dems continue to waste money here

Biden polling better in TX than Trump is in MN.

where exactly did I say I thought it was a good idea for him to be spending money there?

[BigSerg]

Tossup

Lol (D) Trump+1 = Tossup... Okay.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Hopefully the Dems continue to waste money here

1% is far smaller than what Trump trails by in Wisconsin, a state he's still heavily investing in.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Approval is 47/51....continues to suggest a Biden 3 point win in Texas.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Hopefully the Dems continue to waste money here

Biden polling better in TX than Trump is in MN.

where exactly did I say I thought it was a good idea for him to be spending money there?

Arizona is a lost cause at this point.  Dump all funds into MI, WI, PA, MN, FL

[Buzz]

Hopefully the Dems continue to waste money here

Biden polling better in TX than Trump is in MN.

where exactly did I say I thought it was a good idea for him to be spending money there?

Arizona is a lost cause at this point.  Dump all funds into MI, WI, PA, MN, FL

got my a$$!!  I’ll take a timeout the rest of the day for my ignorance.

[wbrocks67]

Biden leads among Hispanics, 71-23.

O'Rourke won them 64-35.

It would appear that Biden is not underperforming among Latinos in TX.

[Woody]

Hopefully the Dems continue to waste money here

Biden polling better in TX than Trump is in MN.

where exactly did I say I thought it was a good idea for him to be spending money there?

Arizona is a lost cause at this point.  Dump all funds into MI, WI, PA, MN, FL

got my a$$!!  I’ll take a timeout the rest of the day for my ignorance.

It's not even a dumb idea. Polling has shown that Minnesota is still in play for Trump.

[Red Wall]

Let's say even if dems wins texas it's voting 10 points more Republican than the nation. No one claims Oregon will turn red so dems should do the same.

[tagimaucia]

Lol at using the “Hack D Poll! Trash it!” lines when it shows the same damn thing that 80% of all Texas polls have since May/June (that TX is a complete tossup/tie).

[Person Man]

Today is an interesting day. Trump is coming back in Pennsylvania only for a poll in Ohio to show him falling behind. Trump has come back in Florida only for there to be another poll with him barely hanging on in Texas.

A lot of these are hack polls but at this point it might be the best we get.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Today is an interesting day. Trump is coming back in Pennsylvania only for a poll in Ohio to show him falling behind. Trump has come back in Florida only for there to be another poll with him barely hanging on in Texas.

A lot of these are hack polls but at this point it might be the best we get.

It's almost like we shouldn't extrapolate based on individual polls, particularly those which may or may not have a history of tilting the scales (Susquehanna).

But I guess we take what we can get, especially if they spell impending doom.

Yet no matter what the polls say in Texas, regardless of the pollster or the margins or the consistent Biden strength, we can all agree that Trump will end up doing better than Ted Cruz did in 2018 because "he just will"

[MT Treasurer]

Lol at using the “Hack D Poll! Trash it!” lines when it shows the same damn thing that 80% of all Texas polls have since May/June early 2019 and probably even before that (that TX is a complete tossup/tie).

I’ve said it before, but this state + the entirety of polling out of this state (where Republican strength is virtually never underestimated) tells us more about this (static) election than anything else besides the devastating midterm losses the party suffered under Trump. People are all too easily distracted by a few individual state polls from various states while losing sight of the big picture.

[Badger]

Hopefully the Dems continue to waste money here

Biden polling better in TX than Trump is in MN.

where exactly did I say I thought it was a good idea for him to be spending money there?

Arizona is a lost cause at this point.  Dump all funds into MI, WI, PA, MN, FL

got my a$$!!  I’ll take a timeout the rest of the day for my ignorance.

On that basis, take the year.