Will Your Precinct Go To Trump Or Biden? Sept 2020 Edition.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

North Dallas county suburbs, very white, it went 53-46 mccain, 55-44 romney, then 54-41 clinton. Allred then won it 57-42, Beto won it 60-39, and every other democrat in 2018 won it including Lupe Valdez. Biden will destroy Trump here by a similar margin to Beto v Cruz. In the primary it was 46 biden 20 bloomberg 15 bernie 9 warren 6 pete etc. so very neolib lol

[Senator-elect Spark]

I live in Philly.. so probably Biden. It went to Trump in 2016.

[Non Swing Voter]

My precinct was basically exactly evenly split between Clinton and Trump last time but I expect it to go about 55-45 or slightly better for Biden.

[Del Tachi]

The precinct where I live in Jackson was 58-36 Clinton in 2016, but the precinct I actually vote in was a much closer 49-47 Clinton.

Jackson precinct is probably Safe D (it's a majority White, very college-educated "intown" Jackson district) whereas the other one I'd rate as Tossup/Tilt R. 

[NHI]

In 2016:
Clinton: 54%
Trump: 39%
Johnson: 4%
Other: 3%

This cycle I expect the result to be even more lopsided. My guess 57% to 42% Biden over Trump.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Trump got less than 8% in 2016 so...

My parents' precinct might be an interesting question, Trump got 47% so he won it with a large third party vote and a drop in turnout, but Heitkamp won it 54-45 and Obama only lost it by three points, 46 to Romney's 49.

[sguberman]

My precinct went 55-38 Clinton after being ties in 2012 so I expect Biden to do even better here.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Precinct I vote in: Biden 57-43 (Was Clinton 53-40)

Precinct I live in: Biden 86-14 (Was Clinton 80-12)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Forsyth County, Georgia, 80-15 Trump in 2016.  There's not much suspense in this one.

[ExSky]

San Antonio proper. Easily Biden

[neostassenite31]

My precinct will almost certainly go to Biden. It's a Romney-Clinton precinct that went from R+3 in 2012 to D+20 in 2016 and then D+25 in the 2018 gubernatorial. There aren't many precincts like this in MN and most of them are in Hennepin county.

[Crumpets]

Biden, with probably around 80% of the vote.

[nclib]

Chapel Hill, NC. In 2016 went 73-17 Clinton. Of course ultra-safe for Biden.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I've never been sure about how my specific precinct votes but my town as a whole always tends to vote Republican very narrowly in presidential elections and is fairly swingy in other elections. I do think it could vote for Biden this year. I sure hope so. I've felt dirty for living in a Trump voting town for the past four years especially while towns with similar demographics to mine voted for Clinton, a Democrat, for the first time in generations back in 2016.

[Buzz]

Cobb County, GA.  It's now gone for the GOP like all of metro ATL.  Biden will win it.

[redjohn]

My precinct went 52-39 Trump in 2016. Clinton got more raw votes than Obama in 2008 or 2016, and Baldwin did a few points better than HRC in the 2018 midterms.

I anticipate it going about 53-46 for Trump this year; already more Biden signs up in my precinct area than HRC had in the entire 2016 cycle. Most third-party voters are going to vote for Biden, and his raw total is going to easily be the highest for a Democratic Presidential candidate this century. Watch out for suburban trends, people!

[Bojack Horseman]

My precinct in 2016:
Trump 48.89%
Clinton 45.05%

I'm going to bet that it goes for Biden this time.

[Lief 🗽]

The question in my precinct is whether Trump or a third party candidate will come in second place. Biden will win >90%.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Cobb County, GA.  It's now gone for the GOP like all of metro ATL.  Biden will win it.

*waves from Forsyth County*.  It's still quite Trumpy up here.

[NOVA Green]

Anyone who is trying to figure out how their precinct voted in the 2018 GE, should consult this resource... (Which took me a ton of time chasing down).

Plus many of the links are to County / State Official Election sources where you can even likely navigate back in time for previous elections.

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=307483.msg6549215#msg6549215

Want a quick survey of how your precinct voted in 2016 PRES GE?

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/election-2016-voting-precinct-maps.html#9.87/37.689/-97.138/53037

It will zoom in on your precinct based upon the IP Address location and Wi-Fi they are tracking off of...

The example above is simply a link because I am currently looking at Wichita, Kansas '16 PRES results, although I do not live there, and I am working on validating how the City Voted not just in '16 but previously to see what the 2020 Tea Leaves might indicate....

Anybody want help trying to find how your precinct voted recently, these are a few good resources to start with, and tons of us can give you tips if you are trying to pull up your precinct info from official election returns from a specific county during a particular election...

In my mind precinct data is the Gold Standard of Election Results, but Precinct Maps for historical elections start to become extreme "rares", just like "Rare" Magic Cards from Alpha or Beta sets from Legends or Arabian Nights....

I'll probably post some of my precinct numbers at some point here, but still sketch on providing private information on a publicly accessible Forum (As opposed to Members only) to that level of granularity....

[Horus]

Biden 91-7, Decatur GA

[Calthrina950]

To my surprise, my precinct in North Colorado Springs, Colorado voted for Trump 58-30% in 2016, significantly less than what I thought. I had imagined that Trump won north of 70% of the vote here. As I've said repeatedly, Northern Colorado Springs is heavily Republican-I live in a County Commissioner's District where the Democratic candidate struggles to break 25% of the vote. Obviously, Trump is going to win my precinct again, probably by a margin similar to that of 2016.

I have a neighbor down the street from me who has campaign signs out for Trump and for Cory Gardner-they also had campaign signs out for Walker Stapleton in 2018 and for Doug Lamborn in 2016, so they are clearly a partisan Republican. Another neighbor has Trump-Pence tags on their vehicles, and another one has a tag on their vehicle saying "If you want America to be a sh**thole, vote Democrat." I haven't seen any tags or signs for Biden close to where I live.

But looking at the NYT precincts map in general confirms my impressions of the city. Downtown Colorado Springs (which is where Colorado College is located), parts of Southern Colorado Springs (where most of the city's minority population lives), Old Colorado City (a tourist area), and Manitou Springs (which is a tourist town), voted for Clinton, while Trump won the remainder of Colorado Springs, the smaller towns such as Fountain, Security, Widefield, Monument, Peyton, and Calhan, the military bases (i.e. the Air Force Academy, Peterson Air Force Base, Fort Carson, Schriever Air Force Base, NORAD), and rural El Paso County, often by overwhelming margins.

[JGibson]

My precinct in Madison County, IL: Nameoki Township
Trump's the favorite to win the precinct at the Presidential level; however, Democrats will likely win at least some of the countywide offices in this precinct.

In 2012, Democrats mostly did well downballot even as Obama lost it. 8 years later, it's a mostly red precinct that is capable of giving Democrats wins occasionally.

[S019]

Trump, I live in a heavily Republican precinct

[ProgressiveModerate]

Biden pretty much no matter what