TX Data for Progress: Biden +3 (user search)
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  TX Data for Progress: Biden +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX Data for Progress: Biden +3  (Read 2839 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,773


« on: September 04, 2020, 12:52:02 PM »
« edited: September 04, 2020, 01:06:00 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

https://filesforprogress.org/memos/Texas%20Poll%20Press%20Release.pdf

Conducted in part thanks to the Texas Youth Power Alliance, so probably worth putting a (D) qualifier on this poll even if you don't apply that to D4P polls anyway
August 20-25, 2020
2295 likely voters
MoE: 2%

Changes with January 16-21 poll. Note: the last D4P poll was independent of the Texas Youth Power Alliance.

Biden 48% (+8)
Trump 45% (-9)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« Reply #1 on: September 04, 2020, 01:10:10 PM »

The pdf has been updated with more comprehensive results.

Undecided 8% (+5% from last D4P likely voters poll, although as I've mentioned elsewhere, that one was independent of this one's sponsor)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« Reply #2 on: September 04, 2020, 03:06:16 PM »

It would be great if Siegel and Oliver won. Maybe then the dem establishment will stop screeching about how progressives are "unelectable"

That may be why Siegel, like Eastman two years ago, is not on the Red to Blue list.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« Reply #3 on: September 04, 2020, 03:09:39 PM »

If in the unlikely event Texas goes blue within the next 3 presidential cycles, you will witness a far more vicious backlash against hispanic-Americans by the right.

Not necessarily. There is currently a significantly bigger gap between the Republican ceiling and floor for Hispanic voters and the Republican ceiling and floor for black voters. Responding to narrowly blue Texas as part of a Biden landslide by going all-in on anti-Hispanic sentiment would be much more likely to backfire than what they've been doing in Georgia and even that does not appear to be working out for them.
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