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[Canis]

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[beaver2.0]

Probably a cat or something.  A Republican is not winning my district unless it's straight up a Rockefeller Republican and the Democrats nominate someone far left AND a high-profile independent Democrat runs.

[Dr. MB]

Pretty much nobody. The last time the R even had a chance at winning here was 2010 when some of David Wu’s weirdness started to come out, but even then he pulled it off solidly.

I guess the candidate who would come closest would be Ron Noble? He’s a state rep who represents a district Trump won by only a couple percentage points but he won by 11 in 2018. I think he also might be the only Republican state legislator from the district.

edit: how the f**k did I forget about Phil Knight (not like he'd ever run for anything anyway)

[NewYorkExpress]

Hempstead Town Clerk Kate Murray would be my best guess.

In an R wave, she might be able to win an open seat, though I don't think she could beat Kathleen Rice.

[SWE]

Only way for a Democrat to win this district is with a Bills legend. It's time to draft OJ for Congress

[Left Wing]

I think Daniel J Evans lives in the district but he is 96 and would only get like 20% of the vote.

[Sirius_]

Terence Roberts probably, but no dem is winning it.

[Ancestral Republican]

D+34, I'm not sure there's any Republicans who would have a shot, maybe if a Hasidic person mounts a candidacy. The last Republican lost by 79 points.

[NewYorkExpress]

Only way for a Democrat to win this district is with a Bills legend. It's time to draft OJ for Congress

How about a Bills legend who isn't a murderer?

[SevenEleven]

There aren't any elected Republicans here and they wouldn't have a chance anyway.

[Coastal_Elite]

NY-24: Pamela Hunter or Al Stirpe (unless the Democrats can recruit Ben Walsh)
CA-12: The Republicans would need to throw a ridiculous amount of money behind one specific Democrat in the jungle primary, but that would likely backfire on them

[jaymichaud]

Thornhill: The Liberals are the closest, but the Conservatives won by +19 last year and have won every election here since 2006, so yeah.

[Hope For A New Era]

MO-06.

It was a swing district until the early 2000s, when Sam Graves locked it up pretty solidly for the Republicans.

I don't think any Democrat could make it competitive right now, mostly because there really are no notable Democrats here at the moment.

The district should start trending left soon, though, and likely will start losing rural areas as Clay County grows, so maybe it will become flippable in a strong D wave at some point. It would be on the edge though, SC-01 style.

[dead0man]

my district goes both ways

[Drew]

WI-2:  I’d say either state Sen. Howard Marklein or state Rep. Todd Novak.

[sparkey]

Pleasanton Mayor Jerry Thorne or former State Assemblywoman Catherine Baker would both be stronger Republican challengers to Rep. Swalwell than anybody who has run recently. They'd both probably still lose though because around these parts, we love torch passing live tv farters who threaten constituents with nukes.

[brucejoel99]

I think there's only like one elected Republican (a city council member) within my district, so I guess her by default, but she'd still have no chance whatsoever.

[Roll Roons]

Pleasanton Mayor Jerry Thorne or former State Assemblywoman Catherine Baker would both be stronger Republican challengers to Rep. Swalwell than anybody who has run recently. They'd both probably still lose though because around these parts, we love torch passing live tv farters who threaten constituents with nukes.

Between her, Charlie and Howard, there must be something about that last name that makes for awesome Republicans. After Trump is gone, I hope she makes a comeback for something.

Home (NJ-07): He's running this year! But if Kean doesn't win, Assembly members Jon Bramnick or Nancy Munoz would also be very strong.

College (IL-01): The recent high water mark for Republicans in this district was 27% in 2014. I think this year's GOP nominee might be a QAnon supporter. Maybe a moderate black Republican could hope to hit 30% in a GOP wave year, but that's the best we could do barring a massive realignment. Funnily enough, the Will County portion of the district is actually quite conservative, but completely outnumbered by the South Side of Chicago.

Current (DC): Lol. Outside the White House, lobbying firms, the RNC and GOP offices on Capitol Hill, the Republican Party is nonexistent in the city. And 90% of these people either live in the suburbs or are registered in their home states.

[scutosaurus]

Dana Barrett is easily the strongest Democrat we've seen run here in a long, long time. She obviously won't win but I'm curious to see what the margin looks like.

[This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies]

No Democrat would win PA-11 in any feasible circumstance. Jess King in 2018 was probably about as good as Dems can expect to do in the district as it currently exists.

[VPH]

PA-03: Man this one is hard because no GOPer would ever remotely stand a chance. Maybe Councilman David Oh? I think he lives in West Philly, but he's the last remaining at-large GOP Councillor. Pretty moderate, good on Veterans' issues and not a fan of Trump.

KS-04: Wichita Mayor Brandon Whipple has done a super good job so far in his role and won that race through a stunningly good comeback. He's young, dynamic, down-to-earth, and unifying. Hard race to win, but he would probably be strongest.

[Cokeland Saxton]

IN-02: Unless the Rs nominate a really weak candidate, I cannot foresee a D candidate winning my district in the foreseeable future.

[Suburbia]

NJ-06: Rep. Frank Pallone last had a competitive challenge in 2010, 10 years ago, under the GOP wave. A Tea Partier, Anna Little ran against him.

Pallone won reelection 55 to 43 percent, he didn't even carry his district of Monmouth.

Sue Kiley, a Monmouth Republican probably could run and win.

[KaiserDave]

They don't exist.

[Ferguson97]

Tom Kean Jr. maybe? Gottheimer is a perfect fit for the district, so it's hard to say