NC-Monmouth: Cunningham +1 (user search)
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  NC-Monmouth: Cunningham +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NC-Monmouth: Cunningham +1  (Read 1080 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,832


« on: September 03, 2020, 10:11:14 AM »

August 29-September 1, 2020
401 registered voters (401 voters accounted for in each likely voter model)
MoE: 4.9%

Toplines supplied here with leaners.

Among registered voters:
Cunningham 46
Tillis 45%
(Bray (L) 2%, Hayes (C) 1%, Other candidate <1%) = Other 3%
No one 1%
Undecided 5%

Among likely voters (model w/ higher turnout than 2016):
Cunningham 47%
Tillis 45%
Other 4%
Undecided 4%

Among likely voters (model w/ lower turnout than 2016):
Cunningham 46%
Tillis 46%
Other 4%
Undecided 4%
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