NC: (Monmouth) Biden +2

[wbrocks67]

Monmouth has been getting some pretty R-friendly numbers recently for some reason.

Agreed. This one is close to the topline we've been seeing for Biden in NC, +2-4, but that Senate # is... odd. Doesn't line up with anything else we're really seeing.

Also I have a hard time buying that Trump has an = net favorability rating. He may have an = approval, but favorability is usually lower...

[wbrocks67]

Monmouth has been getting some pretty R-friendly numbers recently for some reason.

this poll is not R friendly lol

It's really a mixed bag.  The presidential margin looks reasonable.  The Senate margin is better for Tillis than most other polls, and the gubernatorial margin is considerably better for Forest.

In the Senate race, they’re reflecting the same trend other pollsters like ECU have shown: Cunningham isn’t outperforming Biden by the kind of margin he used to a few weeks/months ago.

Cunningham (D) 44.1% (-0.2)
Tillis (R, inc.) 43.6% (+4.1)

The gubernatorial margin is also in line with ECU (Cooper +10; Aug. 29-30), Redfield and Wilton (Cooper +11; Aug. 16-19), PPP (Cooper +11; July 23-24) and several other polls.

This is not a R-friendly poll.

And yet there's also Fox News where Tillis is still underperforming Trump.

[wbrocks67]

Does anyone know why Monmouth has always had such small sample sizes? I mean hell we get congressional polls that have bigger samples.

[wbrocks67]

Genuinely surprised they found a Biden lead in NC at the same time as their Biden +4 (or less with LV models) poll in PA.  Biden should seriously pursue a Sunbelt "backdoor" in the EC. 

He should invest in North Carolina

Does anybody have any data on his campaign's spending in NC (if at all)?

as far as i know, he's been running ads in NC the entire time with the other battleground states