2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread (user search)
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  2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread  (Read 168117 times)
The Mikado
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« on: September 19, 2020, 12:54:43 PM »
Quote from: neostassenite31 on September 19, 2020, 10:52:40 AM
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/minnesota-sees-absolute-shattering-record-absentee-ballot-requests/story?id=73101334

Early voting in Minnesota:

Quote
As of Friday, 1,070,486 voters have requested absentee ballots. By comparison, for the same period in 2018, approximately 58,000 were requested. 3,038 early in-person ballots were cast on Friday, which Simon's office believes may be a record. In 2016, there were 857 ballots accepted on the first day of early in-person voting.

So about 0.1% of the total vote that will be cast in MN has already been cast, a month and a half out. That's pretty impressive.

(Estimating that MN will have about 3 million votes cast is pretty safe: MN already has very high voter turnout so there's not that much room for it to grow)
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The Mikado
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« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2020, 01:55:46 PM »
Bagel, how the hell are you able to vote absentee? Are you travelling on Election Day?
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The Mikado
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« Reply #2 on: September 25, 2020, 04:21:11 PM »

You're an absolute idiot.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2020, 10:39:11 PM »
Quote from: Dr. Lurker on October 05, 2020, 10:28:58 PM
Quote from: Arch on October 05, 2020, 10:26:31 PM
Quote from: Dr. Lurker on October 05, 2020, 10:25:38 PM
The current data in MI/WI is very concerning. I would be on the lookout for a potential upset.

What current data? Everything looks overwhelmingly positive. What are you talking about??
Correction: The current modeling of the early vote by party registration.

It looks like every man, woman, child, dog, cat, and marijuana plant in Dane County is casting a ballot. There's no way you can spin that as gloomy for WI Dems.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #4 on: October 07, 2020, 09:09:38 AM »

A lot of people are unaware that their voting history is basically publicly accessible information because of the phrase "secret ballot," but that only protects who you actually voted for, not whether or not you voted.

In Texas in particular, there's no partisan registration, but who needs it if someone can just look up your history and see you vote in the Democratic Primary every cycle?

I get polled all the time (about once a month during election years) and I think a lot of that comes down to my voting history. Stuff like voting in a Dallas mayoral race with 10% turnout probably puts me in a "Super-high-turnout-chance" list somewhere.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #5 on: October 09, 2020, 12:52:12 PM »
http://www.electproject.org/_/rsrc/1551800206840/national-1789-present/National%20Turnout%20Series.png

Big fan of this image from elect project. Fascinating story.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #6 on: October 09, 2020, 06:36:52 PM »
Quote from: ArtVandelay on October 09, 2020, 06:25:30 PM
Update from Pennsylvania:

I received my mail in ballot yesterday. I'm in Delco (Delaware County, Philly suburb). I happened to have the day off, so I returned it to the Election office. I couldn't find a list of dropboxes. Other people I know from Delco and Montgomery County are receiving their ballots now.

I voted straight Dem.

Wait, the Art Vandelay? Of Vandelay Industries? The latex company?
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The Mikado
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« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2020, 11:32:32 AM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on October 13, 2020, 09:58:44 AM
Quote from: Exopolitician on October 13, 2020, 08:13:27 AM
I'm in line for early voting in McKinney and it's an hour long wait. This is insane.

Is that a DEM or GOP area?

If you wrote that post a decade ago or even five years ago, I'd be laughing hysterically.

As stands, it's actually a good question.

That said, the McKinney part of Collin County is more right wing than the rest of it, so Trump should still carry that poster's area, but not by nearly as much. And Collin County itself is swinging so hard that some people legitimately think Biden might carry it after Trump won it by 17 in 2016 and Romney carried it by 31 in 2012.

Posters like the one quoted above are driving Collin County, once really the bedrock of the TX GOP, into swing territory.

Anyway, I'm planning on voting Thursday here in Dallas because day one early voting is insane. Lines should be a lot more manageable by then.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2020, 01:10:40 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 13, 2020, 12:16:20 PM


Just a warning for people: My County Judge here memes like a teenager. He posts really good early voting details, but his Twitter account is very cringey.

Also, just for people not up on TX lingo: a "County Judge" is the county executive position and is not an actual judge. This is bizarre and confusing, but this is also a state which has a Railroad Commissioner who has nothing to do with the railroad and instead regulates the oil and gas industry, so whatever.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2020, 04:38:03 PM »


Update from Dallas.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2020, 07:39:15 PM »


End of day, though everyone in line can still vote. Looks like Dallas fell just short of 2016.

Remember, though, 3 weeks of early voting rather than 2 in 2016.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #11 on: October 13, 2020, 08:17:31 PM »


You know Judge Jenkins doesn't think we're breaking the record because there's no gif
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The Mikado
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« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2020, 08:53:53 PM »
« Edited: October 13, 2020, 09:01:31 PM by The Mikado »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on October 13, 2020, 08:42:29 PM
Really digging these Clay Jenkins updates.  

Halloween 2018 (watch the second one!)



Edit: the executive of the US' 8th most populated county is a goofy mfer. Smiley
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The Mikado
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« Reply #13 on: October 13, 2020, 09:22:13 PM »
Quote from: New Hampshirite for Kara Eastman on October 13, 2020, 09:05:22 PM


If this is even remotely true, Chip Roy is toast and Michael McCaul is in serious jeopardy. Even Roger Williams should be nervous.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #14 on: October 14, 2020, 03:13:54 PM »
Quote from: Biden +3 in Texas on October 14, 2020, 02:30:52 PM

Wow. Harris county is going to have 24 hour voting on October 29th.

Between this and drive through voting, Harris "third-most-populated county in the US" Texas is an innovating pioneer in votimg this year.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #15 on: October 14, 2020, 04:51:21 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on October 14, 2020, 04:29:53 PM


200k in two days in one county.

America's 3rd largest county, with a population comparble to Kentucky.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #16 on: October 14, 2020, 04:57:32 PM »
How's Dallas done today?

In the AM:



But things picked up!



But as the day went on, Clay Jenkins grew upset:
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The Mikado
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« Reply #17 on: October 14, 2020, 08:52:39 PM »
Judge Clay Jenkins is proud.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #18 on: October 15, 2020, 01:12:36 PM »
(This update includes me)
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The Mikado
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« Reply #19 on: October 15, 2020, 08:31:19 PM »
Welp.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #20 on: October 16, 2020, 02:42:54 PM »


Texas has cast over 2.6 million votes so far.

8,993,166 voted in TX in 2016.

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The Mikado
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« Reply #21 on: October 16, 2020, 02:56:27 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on October 16, 2020, 02:46:44 PM
Quote from: Monstro Believes in a Blue Texas & a Blue Georgia on October 16, 2020, 02:43:11 PM
Day 3 of early voting in Texas (October 15) (In-person + VBM)
HARRIS COUNTY (Houston)
2012:   197,987      9.9%
2016:   287,134     12.9%
2018:   245,951     10.5%
2020:   398,966     16.1%

Anything on the partisan breakdown?

TX doesn't have partisan registration.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #22 on: October 16, 2020, 06:05:36 PM »
Judge Jenkins is happy.

Sometimes I wonder what's next for him.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #23 on: October 16, 2020, 09:26:22 PM »


Judge Clay Jenkins must be so happy to not have to be the COVID wet blanket for a while and be able to talk about something uplifting. He's had to be the "No, your bar CANNOT open, what are you thinking" guy for the last over half a year of his life.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #24 on: October 18, 2020, 04:20:29 PM »
Quote from: darthpi on October 18, 2020, 03:54:01 PM
That Denton number... something wild is happening in that county.

2010 census: 662,614
2015 estimate: 778,846
2019 estimate: 887,207

Denton County is literally not the same place it was 8 or even 4 years ago.
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