2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread (user search)
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Author Topic: 2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread  (Read 168202 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« on: October 05, 2020, 08:13:32 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 05, 2020, 08:11:48 PM
This is interesting.



I disagree with Real American Politics thesis in his tweet as Biden is winning more Republicans than Trump wins Democrats and Biden is winning Independents anywhere between 12-22 points.

Yeah, no. RAP is such a hack.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2020, 08:17:00 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 05, 2020, 08:14:51 PM
Quote from: Make PA Blue Again! on October 05, 2020, 08:13:32 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 05, 2020, 08:11:48 PM
This is interesting.



I disagree with Real American Politics thesis in his tweet as Biden is winning more Republicans than Trump wins Democrats and Biden is winning Independents anywhere between 12-22 points.

Yeah, no. RAP is such a hack.

I mainly tweeted it to show the modeled ballots returned. I think the numbers look fine for Democrats.

Yeah, I agree. They're returning them at a higher rate, and like you said: Biden is winning more Reps than Trump is winning Dems... and polls have Biden up comfortably with independents.

RAP is just serving comfort food to twitter Republicans.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2020, 08:29:22 PM »
Quote from: Dr. Lurker on October 05, 2020, 08:26:15 PM
How accurate is Target Smart modeling usually?

I mean, WI doesn't use party ID so idk how they got those numbers.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #3 on: October 06, 2020, 12:47:12 AM »
Quote from: Dr. Lurker on October 05, 2020, 10:25:38 PM
The current data in MI/WI is very concerning. I would be on the lookout for a potential upset.

Did you, like, not read what we all said?
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2020, 11:14:59 PM »
Quote from: soundchaser on October 18, 2020, 10:33:27 PM
Ralston’s updates look pretty good for Democrats so far — they’re leading 2 to 1 in Washoe right now and almost 3 to 1 in Clark. In 2016 with about 10 percent of the vote in, they had a 2,200 ballot lead in Washoe; this year it’s almost 12,000. Still very early, but I don’t see how this is a sign Trump’s on any kind of path to flip Nevada.

F R E I W A L
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #5 on: October 20, 2020, 10:46:05 PM »
Ugh I hate Florida.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #6 on: October 20, 2020, 11:27:45 PM »
Ralston reported that Reps beat Dems 2-1 in Washoe today.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #7 on: October 20, 2020, 11:40:15 PM »
Quote from: Arch on October 20, 2020, 11:39:56 PM
Ralston knows how to rile up folks. He knows the VBM will likely cut that down if not reverse it, but he's drumming it up. He did that yesterday too.

When should we get the VBM numbers?
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