2020 Absentee/Early Voting thread

[Bootes Void]

The Democrats lead is down to 11% in Florida!!! The In person vote is cutting into democrats lead slowly but surely...Can Trump close the gap? Hopefully but we will see!

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17YKazYaUMZ33vmd4YHDKcVdlTkP5DmnHQQlAttwOzL0/htmlview?pru=AAABdWY-2lM*RELmuWopShoDq9-h3Bl_Tw#

F**k.
And to think people still believe Florida will flip.

May I remind you that the REP turnout in 2016 was 7 points higher than DEM turnout in 2016! We actually discussed that here several days ago. Yes, REPs may and probably will eventually catch up to DEMs in FL, but it's still going to be a big improvement for DEMs compared to 2016.

There will likely be a huge surge of Trump voters on Election Day. We need a strong margin with the total EV+VBM to cancel that out.

If a whole bunch of people voted before election day then there won't be a huge surge on election day. Also there will still be alot of Biden supporters voting on election, it's not all Trump supporters

[Bootes Void]

Really ugly numbers in Florida. Let’s see if the Obama rally this weekend can turn things around but it may be time to consider redirecting resources to GA and TX.

[Bootes Void]

I'm disappointed in NY, they are the only state to not report anything yet

[Bootes Void]

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html

nearly 50 million!

60 million in a few days maybe two days

[Bootes Void]

I know that is obvious but in Florida, more people have early voted than voted for either Trump or Clinton. Same with Georgia, Texas, NC etc.

The turnout will be very high this year

[Bootes Void]

https://twitter.com/HarrisVotes/status/1319734224543469581

[Bootes Void]

These guys are being misleading. Show the daily mail amounts as well

[Bootes Void]

Sorry if this question seems dense, but can somebody spell out for me what is going on in Florida, preferably in a simultaneously non-doomer and non-optimist way? Do Democrats really need a 650k party advantage by election day? Are Republicans actually surging and beating expectations? Does this take into account how NPA are likely to vote? (Who do those voters even favor?) And does any of this give us any insight into who's favored? I'm not looking for any particular answer, I'm just having a hard time grasping this.

Thanks in advance.

Your best of following polls but making predictions only on early voting can be misleading