Biden leads under 45s in AZ by 33 points.
AZ is the new CO?
It looks like 3/4 SW states are now going to be Democratic. I wonder if Utah will trend D long term as well, especially post Trump.
Yes. Dramatically.
Population growth and education levels are extremely high, and almost all of the state's population lives in areas that most people would describe as "suburban." It's literally like if Gwinnett County, Georgia were scaled up to an entire state. The LDS church is the only thing keeping Utah red, and as its influence continues to decline, so will the Republican Party's.
One interesting effect of this is that almost all Utah Democrats are progressives, as most of those who would be moderate Democrats in other states are Republicans here because of the church. That's why Bernie Sanders got nearly 80% of the vote here in the 2016 primaries, and still won this state easily in 2020 even during Biden's massive Super Tuesday surge.
It's also probably what's kept the UTGOP sane, so we should probably be grateful for it!
